Severe Weather 2020 (3 Viewers)

This severe weather season will be?

  • Much Above Average

    Votes: 4 9.3%
  • Above Average

    Votes: 26 60.5%
  • Average

    Votes: 6 14.0%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 5 11.6%
  • Much Below Average

    Votes: 2 4.7%

  • Total voters
    43
  • Poll closed .

Bevo

Member
Messages
149
Location
Dallas, TX
Texas/Oklahoma looks to have impressive instability (2000-4000+, in some cases almost 5000 CAPE) for Tuesday afternoon/overnight. I think the main concern at this time has been touted as large to giant hail and winds, but some soundings indicate tornado potential. The amount of shear seems pretty inconsistent as of now though. For the second time in a week, the gulf is just spewing 70s+ dews into north and central Texas...hopefully the cap holds again.
 

Taylor Campbell

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PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
846
Location
Wedowee, AL
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Bevo

Member
Messages
149
Location
Dallas, TX
Here comes May. Next week looks like it could get kinda busy, possibly some mid-Great Plains/Tennessee valley action according to Euro and GFS. Big differences in timing and intensity though, to be expected this far out.
 

Brice

Member
Messages
182
Location
Virginia
I think the bigger threat will be for the Ohio Valley since that Low pressure is going to be stronger than the first one.
 

Equus

Member
Messages
1,826
Location
Saragossa, AL
I think those numbers are for the single 24 hour period defined by convective outlooks, with the last few '74 tornadoes the following morning after the threshold

Likewise for 4/27… the whole morning round would technically count as being during the 4/26 convective outlook period for that, which I THINK is 7am to 7am
 
Last edited:

Brice

Member
Messages
182
Location
Virginia
Tornado Outlook for May: Early May isn't looking favorable for significant severe outbreaks as the trough will be over the Mid-Atlantic most of the time. Once May 13th comes around, and past that, there will be a few pretty favorable chances for tornadoes as a trough will dig into the Southwest and curve it's way Northeast through the Southern parts (Texas, Oklahoma) of Tornado Alley. (This is a broad view so most likely, changes will be made)
 

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