Severe Weather 2020

[Taylor Campbell]

There’s been a big increase in GFS ensembles showing a significant severe event long range. A look at the EURO control also shows significant severe.

 

[Richardjacks]

There’s been a big increase in GFS ensembles showing a significant severe event long range. A look at the EURO control also shows significant severe.

Later next week as hinted by the GFS?

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Welcome to the New Year! 2019 was busy. Will 2020 be busier? Here’s a thread to discuss the year’s severe weather outlook.

 

[Gail]

My area is on top with Jackson NWS. Fun stuff. :/

 

[Kory]

Jackson gets warning happy. Many times there are warned storms that move into BMX’s CWA and they don’t continue those. JAN has one of the highest FARs and BMX one of the lowest.

 

[Austin Dawg]

Every year we have had a dry, warm and quiet December here in South Central Texas, it has been a stormy spring in the midwest, mid-south, and sometimes even here. On average we have a good deal of rain in December. If we start getting those Pacific storms across Mexico in the spring, watch out.

 

[Kory]

Tomorrow‘s slight risk looks problematic especially with storms riding the warm front from Louisiana into Alabama.

 

[akt1985]

The first severe weather watch of 2020 is a Flash Flood Watch for much of Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi and Tennessee.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

The latest euro is extremely active ... if we can get the sub tropical jet to relax bit... system late next week has legs n bears watching ... something to watch

 

[WesL]

Interesting high wind issue in Washington State - Tumbleweeds buried cars and trucks on a highway and the state DOT had to use snow plows to remove them... Link to video/story from NYTimes

Storm of Tumbleweeds Buries Cars, Terrifies Drivers and Astounds Police (Published 2020)

On a flat stretch of highway in Washington State, tumbleweeds were piled as high as 30 feet across an area three football fields long.

www.nytimes.com

Tumbleweeds Bury Car in Washington

Tumbleweeds overtook a stretch of highway in Washington State, and piled as high as 30 feet, trapping vehicles for hours.

nyti.ms

 

[bwalk]

Interesting high wind issue in Washington State - Tumbleweeds buried cars and trucks on a highway and the state DOT had to use snow plows to remove them... Link to video/story from NYTimes

Storm of Tumbleweeds Buries Cars, Terrifies Drivers and Astounds Police (Published 2020)

On a flat stretch of highway in Washington State, tumbleweeds were piled as high as 30 feet across an area three football fields long.

www.nytimes.com

Tumbleweeds Bury Car in Washington

Tumbleweeds overtook a stretch of highway in Washington State, and piled as high as 30 feet, trapping vehicles for hours.

nyti.ms

Awesome! Dodging 30 ft high tumbleweeds would be an other-worldly experience! And dealing with 10 or 20 of them bouncing around in your line of vision would be like something out of a video game. This is something none of us even have a mental frame of reference to process. It would be totally mind-blowing and beyond our realm of experience. Maybe like crashing the bear-cage of an F1 tornado or something.

 

[Kory]

I think we need to keep a close eye on the period of Jan 11-12.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I think we need to keep a close eye on the period of Jan 11-12.

The support is growing for this to be a significant event.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

GFS at this time would indicate more of a January 10/possibly 11th event. The front is off the Atlantic coast by 12/00z.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

today’s 12z run euro would been almost a violent run per verbatim if you take the gulf convection away... system next weekend bears watching very closely

 

[Kory]

GFS is always too fast and has a SE bias. Majority of guidance is hitting Saturday as the day. Euro is volatile from Saturday through the end of the run and beyond.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

GFS is always too fast and has a SE bias. Majority of guidance is hitting Saturday as the day. Euro is volatile from Saturday through the end of the run and beyond.

Yeah, I'd expect this to be a Saturday event around here. The GFS has been tail following the EURO in the extended.

 

[akt1985]

What is everyone’s thoughts about the Tuesday/Wednesday system next week?

 

[gangstonc]

What is everyone’s thoughts about the Tuesday/Wednesday system next week?

Not enough instability right now.

 

[N4GKS]

Don’t see any signs.