For whatever it's worth, I think it's worth bringing attention back to this with the fires that have been going on in Australia.
Agreed I am pretty skeptical TBH. It says itself in the article that the models don't take into account things like smoke particles in the air. Even without that in the models all of the major tornado parameters we are aware of were pretty much off the charts leading up to this breakout. That day was going to be historical any way you slice it. I find it hard to believe some smoke had much if anything to do with it.It's an interesting article but the smoke effect really needs to be studied more in detail. This study found it enhanced the effects while the general consensus is smoke played a huge part in the now infamous 45% bust back in May across OK. That's an area of study that needs to be explored more.
I look forward to seeing the new "Day 6" as it comes out, along with all the 0z model data tonight.Next Tuesday/Wednesday looks like a potential severe wx threat across the Southeast. SPC is already entertaining an idea of introducing a severe wx risk for day 6 on tomorrow’s outlook should trends continue today.