Ice totals at the end of the nam run along with the current radar at the end. With lots more frozen rain.
Big event incoming..?
Big event incoming..?
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Winter Weather/Ice Storm Threat January 30 - February 3, 2023 - Ice Ice Baby
- Thread starter Lake Martin EF4
- Start date
JPWX
Member
I guess the Canadians know how to forecast the cold weather lol. The cold bias helps in this case I think
tennessee storm chaser
Member
- Messages
- 1,056
- Reaction score
- 1,278
- Location
- jackson tennessee
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
i still like see what euro has say, know soon
Man the 18z nam is crippling.
Whens the last time around Memphis and west Tennessee has had around a inch of freezing rain?
This freezing rain chart is skewed a bit. Some of the freezing rain is out in the snowfall category because it's projected to be as sleet. But I'm not 100% that it'll be sleet...but it will be close.
warneagle
Member
Glad we're out of the target area for this after the ice storm last year turned 95 into a parking lot all the way from DC to Fredericksburg. Might get our first snow of the season on Thursday or Saturday though. Getting through January with 0.0" of snow for the season is obviously concerning long-term but at least I'm getting some winter golf in.
'94 is all I could find
Last edited:
JPWX
Member
From what I can find, Memphis saw around 2 inches of ice during the Great Storm of 1951. The other one is the 94 storm.
Freezing rain totals not as high on the 00z run. Thanks in part to models depicting the frozen precip as sleet. It'll be interesting to watch as we move forward
We are close to having problems with this system. If the cold air wiggles south we are in trouble.
ashtonlemleywx
Member
00z Canadian RDPS is absolutely terrifying. Not gonna lie starting to get nervous about this one.
Freezing rain totals on 06z nam, talk about crippling ice totals for the Memphis area. Around .9 to a inch of ice will do a lot of damage. 
Isn't this in your neck of the woods? What part of Mississippi do you live in?
JPWX
Member
Just like the Canadian model continues to show freezing rain further south and east than the majority of the Euro/GFS runs. Of course, the RDPS just goes out to 84 hours so it's just getting in range now. We'll see if it continues to show consistency in future runs. If the RDPS is correct though we're in for a doozy of an ice storm.
Not impressed with the NAM for my area.
Well, what do you know?
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Travis-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
and Austin
216 PM CST Sun Jan 29 2023
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Significant icing possible due to freezing rain. Total
ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch for western
Williamson and Travis counties. Total ice accumulations from
one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch in the Hill Country.
* WHERE...Portions of south central Texas, mainly across the Hill
Country.
* WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...Difficult travel conditions are possible during the
Tuesday and Wednesday morning commutes, especially across the
Hill Country.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Icing will be possible mainly during the
late night through mid-morning hours when temperatures will be
coldest. The most significant icing is currently expected to
remain across the Hill Country.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Travis-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
and Austin
216 PM CST Sun Jan 29 2023
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Significant icing possible due to freezing rain. Total
ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch for western
Williamson and Travis counties. Total ice accumulations from
one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch in the Hill Country.
* WHERE...Portions of south central Texas, mainly across the Hill
Country.
* WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...Difficult travel conditions are possible during the
Tuesday and Wednesday morning commutes, especially across the
Hill Country.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Icing will be possible mainly during the
late night through mid-morning hours when temperatures will be
coldest. The most significant icing is currently expected to
remain across the Hill Country.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
akt1985
Member
There are a few models that are trending away from heavy totals in Memphis and western Tennessee. Right now for Huntsville metro it’s just a cold rain Tuesday-Thursday.
JPWX
Member
12z Canadian and 18z RDPS.
