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Severe Weather 2020

This severe weather season will be?

  • Much Above Average

    Votes: 4 9.3%

  • Above Average

    Votes: 26 60.5%

  • Average

    Votes: 6 14.0%

  • Below Average

    Votes: 5 11.6%

  • Much Below Average

    Votes: 2 4.7%
  • Total voters
    43
  • Poll closed .
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CheeselandSkies said:
In a normal spring I would be super stoked for this. Now, not so much.
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I feel you on that one.

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tennessee storm chaser said:
cheese, that's another concern to be honest, cause im afraid a lot folks are going be caught up in to the news over the virus pandemic and big severe weather event goiing catch lot people who don't keep up with this and know much about off guard
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Yes indeed, that was a concern this past Saturday. However in Jonesboro it's possible it actually saved lives due to not as many people out shopping as there normally would be.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
First time I've ever seen a tornado rated EF-Unknown, but when you think about it I'm surprised I haven't seen it often.

 
The implementation of EF-U seems incredibly inconsistent, most WFOs would just default to EF0 though I saw another EF-U in Texas recently. Makes sense, but it needs to be applied consistently.
 
tennessee storm chaser said:
0z euro raises eye brows long range ...
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Yeah, next week and the following week show no shortage of instability. There's also progressive energy being modeled to come play with it.

Check out these forecast dewpoints.

dewpoints171.gif
 
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I don't know if you all saw this:

The coronavirus pandemic may affect the accuracy of the initial weather forecast model output originating from national and global weather prediction centers because of a cutback in the number of aircraft flights that generate vital weather data, according to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other experts.

The aircraft collect temperature and wind data, among other information, that help improve the initial atmospheric conditions that drive global and regional weather forecast models. This data is used routinely to improve the forecasts created by national weather prediction centers across the globe.

However, the pandemic has drastically reduced the number of such flights in Europe and increasingly in the U.S. This impact will be a reduction in global forecast performance. For regional models, the impact may be even greater.
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**Admin Edit- WesL** Included direct quote from the article
 
Last edited by a moderator:
We’re starting to see models latch onto the pattern we’ve seen for the umpteenth time this winter/spring. Cutoff out west and polar stream taking off leaving it meandering in the SW. Not exactly the pattern that produces widespread severe wx.
 
I don’t know about overseas, but I know we still have sorties flying daily. Couldn’t they compile some of that information from military aircraft around the US?

Edit: Oops, meant to quote the accuweather article.
 
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