CheeselandSkies
Member
think mornings new 4 to 8 will have a highlighted area for severe wx. Thursday Friday
Nope. Models still not lending sufficient confidence in timing/location/intensity of a threat. This is getting old.
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think mornings new 4 to 8 will have a highlighted area for severe wx. Thursday Friday
The old saying "cut off upper level low...weatherman's woe."Nope. Models still not lending sufficient confidence in timing/location/intensity of a threat. This is getting old.
Yep. May be a big oneGFS has been hotter than pancakes next week.
I’m not seeing anything that would be “hotter than pancakes”?
Next week continues to look worrisome.
Could it be that the Bermuda High is already setting up and we're just going to skip our Spring tornado season (here locally in MS/AL)? It's only March 19th as of this post, but wow, I can see visions of the days of extreme heat and praying for an MCS to come through to give us some temporary relief. I'm sure we'll get at least one "big threat" at some point before we completely transition into Spring; I just don't know when that'll be.
I think the chances of us getting through April in Dixie Alley without at least one or two tornado events is possible but highly unlikely.
Subtropical ridge placement has been unfavorable for systems to eject properly to support a larger/widespread threat East of the MS River. Obviously that doesn’t preclude tornadoes as we saw with Nashville, but that was overall spatially small (but one heck of a supercell!).Could it be that the Bermuda High is already setting up and we're just going to skip our Spring tornado season (here locally in MS/AL)? It's only March 19th as of this post, but wow, I can see visions of the days of extreme heat and praying for an MCS to come through to give us some temporary relief. I'm sure we'll get at least one "big threat" at some point before we completely transition into Spring; I just don't know when that'll be.
Sfc winds will be out of the south or south-southwest with westerly winds aloft. Directional shear will be very favorable for a discrete mode of severe weather, although some soundings show a VBV profile (one potential limiting factor).If I'm looking at this correctly, the wind profiles at 300mb, 500mb & 850 could be conducive to storms during this same time period .....