• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Winter WX January 29-30 Southeast Event

AL_ham_op said:
This is what I'm going with. I just don't see the temps getting cold enough quickly enough.
Click to expand...

See there is a lot more to this than how warm it is now and from how you are wording things it makes me think this is why you feel it will not get cold enough in time. The main player will be the cold air advection and how rapidly it sets in post frontal passage. The incoming cold air will dictate things much more than what you have outside right now.
 
Something of note is the NAM, according to a TV met in the BHM area I talk with, is not initializing right AT ALL. Sfc temps at initialization vs obs were off by 8-9 degrees in areas.
 
Yea, so far this is looking borderline even for Atlanta. The problem though is an hour of timing, or a few degrees of temps one way means the difference between treacherous icy roads at rush hour, and run of the mill wet roads.
 
The same models that the weather-guessers were using 72 hours ago, 24 hours ago, and 1 hour ago, led to the Governor of Alabama declaring a state of emergency, schools closing all over North Alabama, and now those models are showing it may not do much of anything. Clown shoes.
 
DyBwOxPXcAIYcXs.jpg:large

The Barron model...
 
pritchlaw said:
The same models that the weather-guessers were using 72 hours ago, 24 hours ago, and 1 hour ago, led to the Governor of Alabama declaring a state of emergency, schools closing all over North Alabama, and now those models are showing it may not do much of anything. Clown shoes.
Click to expand...

And this here is stage 2 of the 5 stage grief model ladies and gentlemen.
 
rolltide_130 said:
And this here is stage 2 of the 5 stage grief model ladies and gentlemen.
Click to expand...
As long as my kids are out, mission accomplished. And they're out so I don't have any grief. I just laugh at this model obsession every time. They are pretty much guessing like we all are until such a time as it is so close to the snow event that we can all figure it out within an hour or 2.
 
rolltide_130 said:
Something of note is the NAM, according to a TV met in the BHM area I talk with, is not initializing right AT ALL. Sfc temps at initialization vs obs were off by 8-9 degrees in areas.
Click to expand...
Across Alabama? Or further West? A quick look at the 18z doesn't look 8-9 degrees off at all. Then again, I'm on my phone, so I may be missing something.
 
CAFB just issued their weather alert. They’re calling for the potential of 1”.
 

Attachments

  • FC8393E0-18D0-464D-BA44-508F6241E8B9.jpeg
    FC8393E0-18D0-464D-BA44-508F6241E8B9.jpeg
    1.6 MB · Views: 0
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top