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Winter WX January 29-30 Southeast Event (2 Viewers)


rolltide_130

Member
Messages
775
Location
Harvest, Alabama
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Not aware if you’re data so no reason to dismiss it or anything but despite this season, which has been seasonalble so far, I am expecting some cold snap and big winter events during the next three to six years.
This chart explains what I"m talking about. We typically see multi-year spikes before multi-year quiet periods, and it seems like we're entering the beginning of the next quiet period. I was born in 1998, so this chart actually perfectly illustrates my claim that I never saw a big snowfall until I was 12.

Now, there's nothing preventing it from happening again say maybe NEXT winter or maybe even a late season surprise this winter, but the pattern looking long-term seems to indicate maybe a warmer and stormier February before climatology takes over unless we get another SSW event in the next 30 days.

1548806508771.png
 

barcncpt44

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138
Location
Anniston, AL
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
Here is James Spann's mean tweets video.
 

warneagle

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Messages
1,007
Location
Silver Spring, MD
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SKYWARN® Volunteer
The low is gonna be 6F here tomorrow and the wind chills will be well below 0, but I guess I shouldn't complain too awful much. The wind chills in the Dakotas are gonna be around -60F (so roughly the average surface temperature on Mars).
 

skelly

Member
Messages
157
Location
Birmingham
This chart explains what I"m talking about. We typically see multi-year spikes before multi-year quiet periods, and it seems like we're entering the beginning of the next quiet period. I was born in 1998, so this chart actually perfectly illustrates my claim that I never saw a big snowfall until I was 12.

Now, there's nothing preventing it from happening again say maybe NEXT winter or maybe even a late season surprise this winter, but the pattern looking long-term seems to indicate maybe a warmer and stormier February before climatology takes over unless we get another SSW event in the next 30 days.

View attachment 1057
I’m just going to be anecdotal but where you see spikes I see randomness not necessarily correlated to colder than average winters although some logically coincide. For example 1988 snow totals include freak April snowfall and the year of superstorm 93 was a March storm following a mild winter. This is from my memory of course not hard data.
 

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