MichelleH
Member
It's quiet because it's not happening until this afternoon and evening.
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Severe WX February 16-17th, 2022 Severe Threat
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
It's quiet because it's not happening until this afternoon and evening.
TCLwx
Member
I meant this forum is quiet—sorry. Usually a little more chatter.
HazardousWx
Member
- Messages
- 91
- Reaction score
- 87
- Location
- Huntsville, AL
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- W4SSW
You're right. There is normally a lot of excitement for one of these events.
- Thread starter
- #65
KevinH
Member
Comments should pick up, when (if?) “THINGS” pick up later today.
weir003
Member
I thought we were supposed to get storms early in north alabama and then possibly a lull around noon before the main event. We haven't had anything to note so far with the main event still sometime away.
- Thread starter
- #67
KevinH
Member
CheeselandSkies
Member
I think the general quietude in here is due to the fact that this is such a conditional threat. SPC put up an enhanced risk because there *could* be a storm or two like the caliber of 2/3 today; or there could be not much of significance at all. Nothing to do really but wait and see what happens.
Bama Ravens
Member
Already had a wind gust to near 30mph at my house north of Birmingham. Gradient winds are no joke today.
TornadoFan
Member
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 142
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
The table is set. We are about to get a significant severe weather event. MD is out and strong tornado potential is real.
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Yes, I think something significant is about to unfold over Miss. Alot of questions as to how far east though into Alabama, and i do think west Alabama could see a significant tornado as well, also a little more concerned over the i65 corridor than I was earlier.
MichelleH
Member
I see on the Day 1 update, they shrank the 10% farther west. My county was in the 10% and now we're in the 5%. Of course, that means nothing, because tornadoes can't read.
Well my concern further east toward i65 is more for straight line winds, not as much tornadoes
Clancy
Member
Tornado Watch out.
Mr. Clark
Member
Why does it always have to be right through Monroe County Mississippi? The dewpoints are surging
Attachments
HTbaseballfan088
Member
To me, Jackson misssissippi to Columbus Mississippi to Jasper alabama has the best threat. Models show a lot of rain for north miss and Tennessee so I see that being a huge limiting factor in that area
warneagle
Member
Yeah I think this is another case where the global models undercooked the thermos on a cool season event. 12z GFS progged 73/66 at JAN at 18z and it's currently 77/75 there. 12z NAM progged 71/66.
Mesoanalysis shows a pretty substantial reservoir of 1000+ CAPE in southwestern MS and if that gets transported far enough north with the wind fields we know will be in place...that's gonna be a problem.
Mesoanalysis shows a pretty substantial reservoir of 1000+ CAPE in southwestern MS and if that gets transported far enough north with the wind fields we know will be in place...that's gonna be a problem.
pritchlaw
Member
Warrior, Alabama at about 11:15 am.
