2019 Hurricane Season (2 Viewers)


Taylor Campbell

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Interesting then that NHC cites increasing wind shear in a few days as a main reason for not raising probabilities on 94L.
Yes, unfavorable wind shear is in its way before it becomes more favorable, but by that time it’s forecast to be strung out energy near the islands that gets absorbed by the next tropical wave.
 

Taylor Campbell

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There's a very significant reduction of wind shear forecast basin wide (from the Gulf of Mexico to the eastern Atlantic) starting this weekend, and through next week. Really anything during that period will have a shot for development.
The tropics are about to go rampant! Models are predicting multiple storms now.
 

Taylor Campbell

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Models show a lot of tropical systems across the globe. Several in the Atlantic, and several in the Pacific.
 
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JayF

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Invest 97L: Not going to start a thread for this one unless models start to change its course. Mostly out to sea according to the current models. Hope you all had a great weekend.
 

Kory

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I’m thinking the current prevailing pattern will protect the U.S. for the most part. Unless we get something in the Gulf or Western Caribbean, persistent troughs on the East Coast will scoop anything away from the mainland.
 

Kory

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We have to see if there is going to be a pattern change to see if these long tracking systems will pose a threat to the U.S. Right now, model consensus recurves Jerry with an impact to Bermuda in addition to Humberto. If we can get a system to limp along into the Western/Central Caribbean, chances of the U.S. impact increase exponentially. And we are about to see a big burst of activity.

I'll take a weak system into the Central Gulf Coast with lots of rain. Most of the Southeast is slipping into worsening drought.

 
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We have to see if there is going to be a pattern change to see if these long tracking systems will pose a threat to the U.S. Right now, model consensus recurves Jerry with an impact to Bermuda in addition to Humberto. If we can get a system to limp along into the Western/Central Caribbean, chances of the U.S. impact increase exponentially. And we are about to see a big burst of activity.

I'll take a weak system into the Central Gulf Coast with lots of rain. Most of the Southeast is slipping into worsening drought.

im not seeing a pattern change anytime soon. Unfortunately .. October looming... that’s the driest month on average whole year ... not good... my yard bout burnt up... no sense in mowing now...
 

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