2019 Hurricane Season (2 Viewers)

warneagle

Member
Messages
2,986
Reaction score
1,606
Location
Arlington, VA
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
The disturbance in the Bay of Campeche is down to a 40% chance of development. It’s gonna be a soaker for Mexico and Texas regardless of its formal status though.
 

bjdeming

Member
Sustaining Member
Messages
672
Reaction score
407
Location
Corvallis, Oregon
Now here's something you don't see every day -- the Moon's shadow just brushing a major hurricane during a solar eclipse. (I know everyone's seen it; just wanted to get it in the thread.)

 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,117
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
I’m headed to the beach next weekend, this system cannot happen.
Yeah, growing consensus of something developing along a stalled boundary in the Northern Gulf. Euro ramps this thing up which forces it poleward. The GFS is weaker which keeps it trapped underneath the ridge over the Central US.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,117
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
The Euro continues to show rapid development of a system in the Gulf this week. I have a feeling it is a bit overzealous but wherever it ends up, it’ll be a big rain maker.
 

Mike S

Administrator
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
1,871
Reaction score
961
Location
Meridianville, Al
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
 

Bama Ravens

Member
Messages
1,183
Reaction score
611
Location
Morris, AL (Northern Jefferson County)
12z Euro went pretty far west

ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_7.png
 

Mike S

Administrator
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
1,871
Reaction score
961
Location
Meridianville, Al
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
From the NHC:

1880
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,117
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
I suspect we'll have an invest by Tuesday. GEFS members are clustered from SELA to Southern MS and SW AL. Large shift west.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,117
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Not really liking the constant troughing/atmospheric weakness over the Central Gulf Coast as we continue deeper into the hurricane season.

Speaking of that, looks like we get a front all the way down to the Gulf with some hints of a disturbance trying to spin up later next week. Just something to keep an eye on.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Top