tropics

I'm by no means a model aficionado, but the GFS is showing some mischief in the GOM about 10+ days out. i.e., la la land.

I'm not going to say I've never taken a company or government vehicle to the convenience store to pick up a Coke Zero while I was out, but this seems a bit overboard. The rest of the story...

Future Laura is looking good this morning out in the Atlantic. This one has the potential to be the most threatening storm of the season so far to the mainland U.S. Conditions look nearly perfect for strengthening once it gets north of Hispaniola with an upper-level anti-cyclone and 30C+ water...

And so it begins.......

Another tropical wave, located south of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing a large area of shower and thunderstorm activity. This system has become much better organized since yesterday and could become a tropical depression during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become less...

A tropical wave located about 800 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form early next week while it moves...

Per the NHC: