We've got yet another invest with increasing chances for development once it enters the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, an ULL is to the west of the system providing some SWerly shear over it. If/when that pivots out of the way and allows for better upper level ventilation/outflow of the system...
We are just 4 days removed from the statistical peak of the Atlantic season and we have another problematic Cape Verde tropical wave on our hands. If this stays at a low latitude and begins development upon approach to the Caribbean, I think we may have a significant system on our hands.
Get out the fish sticks!
A tropical wave, accompanied by a well-defined low pressure system,
is located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development
of this system is possible through mid-week while it moves toward...
This is getting interesting quickly lol
Recon is tenatively scheduled Monday
A low pressure trough over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although this
system is close to dry air, some slow development is possible over
the next few days...
Its insanely early for this, but there is a fair amount of model support, the Euro was very aggressive at 12z and the GFS ensembles were also pretty bullish, although it probably won't survive the trip west... but still... to form that far east this early is pretty much unheard of(Bret was too...