Hurricane Hurricane Dorian

[Richardjacks]

holding at cat 4. i think that's the right decision by the nhc, lack of complete symmetry suggests it will likely remain near the threshold and not go much higher...dont want to send the wrong message by going back to 4

 

[Richardjacks]

tonight's 0z runs will be super important in signaling any changes for 48 hours...not because of turn but because of expected slowdown as that will determine how far west

 

[TornadoFan]

Wow.

 

[Richardjacks]

looking slightly more symmetrical

 

[TornadoFan]

Wow, if this is legit.

 

[Richardjacks]

Dorian is still strengthening. This is likely feeding into the ridge...we may see more west adjustments .

 

[FEARLESS]

Wow, if this is legit.

Yes and fox13 just shared it but you wont see that on weather channel including levi cowen’s update either

 

[FEARLESS]

Wow, if this is legit.

Weather channel didnt update with that intel

 

[FEARLESS]

Weather channel didnt update with that intel

Fox13 did

 

[Mike S]

No upgrade. Still Cat 4. 150 mph

 

[Taylor Campbell]

When I look at the satellite loop, it appears it’s going to be to those Bahama islands quicker than what I talked about last night.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

When I look at the satellite loop, it appears like it’s going to be to those Bahama islands quicker than what I talked about last night.

Current movement seems to still favor further west guidance.

 

[majorhurricane1703]

Current movement seems to still favor further west guidance.

I must admit it does seem quite reasonable to think it will be at the Bahamas by late morning/early afternoon tomorrow. The question I would have is does it slow to a crawl? I’m still going with a non-landfall in Florida.

 

[TornadoFan]

00z model is showing the track going further south.

 

[TornadoFan]

Pressure dropped to 934mb according to the latest update.
The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
observations is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

 

[Richardjacks]

Euro shifts west

 

[Richardjacks]

Dorian is now cat 5

 

[Equus]

This pushes our category five streak to a record four years in a row. Unfortunately, it's looking like our category five landfall streak will also be pushed to a record three years... that's statistically pretty incredible. Remember we only had two category fives through the entire 1990s and three in the 1980s. Since 2000 we have now seen THIRTEEN.

 

[majorhurricane1703]

Up to A 20 foot storm surge possible in Nassau. Good grief !

 

[TornadoFan]

NHC just upped the sustained winds to 175 MPH with 200 MPH gusts.

Hurricane Tammy Update Statement

www.nhc.noaa.gov