It's been 13 years since one of the worst tornado outbreaks unfolded, with incredibly deadly fury, across the Southern Ohio Valley, Ozarks, and parts of Dixie Alley. The tornado outbreak was triggered by an eastward-moving surface low, which was interacting with warm, unstable air that had gradually wafted northwards over the past few days. On the evening of February 4th, there was already enough instability to support severe thunderstorms, and a Slight Risk of severe weather had been issued, but luckily, there was no forcing or trigger for supercell thunderstorms to develop. That trigger came on February 5th with the surface low. The surface low created favorable wind profiles for tornadoes, and coming with it came the trigger, the approaching cold front. The cold front triggered
a lot of forcing in the warm sector, coupled with a very strong jet streak aiding in open warm sector development as well, which caused the formation of numerous discrete supercell thunderstorms, which brought the deadly tornado outbreak. This particular trough displayed a clear, negative tilt to it, a classic signature of many other major tornado-producing troughs.
Surface Analysis as the Tornado Outbreak was in progress, notice how there is
a lot of southeast winds at the surface, which suggests strong low-level veering. You can also see temperatures and dewpoints favoring severe weather, most of them in the 70-60 range. The temperature-dewpoint spread was also not too big, which meant that the lower-level profile was very moist, which, as a result, favored supercell thunderstorms of a higher than normal precipitation complexion, which would make some tornadoes difficult to see. At this point, the Clinton, AR long-tracked EF4 was in progress in Central Arkansas. The supercell that would produce the EF2 tornado at Memphis (and later the EF4 at Union University in Jackson, Tennessee) was maturing into a supercell. A squall line, created by enhanced forcing along the cold front, was present in Arkansas, riding the cold front.
Sounding from 0000 UTC at Little Rock, as the long-tracked Clinton, Arkansas EF4 Tornado was in progress. You can see decent instability values for this time of year, along with strong lapse rates slightly enhanced by a tiny touch of dry air at the surface. This may have resulted in the rather more visible nature (much more visible than the other tornadic supercells that day) of the Clinton, Arkansas Supercell. Looking at the hodograph, you can see the presence of a
VERY STRONG upper-level jet streak, aiding in discrete supercell development in the open warm sector. A Critical Angle of 47 degrees can also be seen, which favors long-tracked, steady-state tornadoes. The Critical Angle was much higher in southern Tennessee, where the tornadic supercell activity was much more cyclic. Strong wind shear and Storm Relative Helicity (SRH) can also be seen.
The supercell that produced the long-tracked Arkansas Tornado was the first to form and dropped the tornado less than an hour after echo tops had initially reached 40,000 feet. This tornado remained in a very steady state for its entire life, taking on the appearance of a strong stovepipe. Horizontal Vortices were also observed with this tornado. The tornado finally dissipated after the supercell was overtaken by some convection, after remaining steady for 121.84 miles.
The tornado first formed to the southeast of Atkins and rapidly intensified. While the tornado was not big when it approached the Atkins area, it had already attained EF3 (officially, likely EF4) intensity. It killed a woman in a mobile home park along a lake, before it entered more populated areas, due east of Atkins. Several homes in this area were obliterated and swept away, all of which were not anchored properly, preventing a rating of higher than EF3. This is a very hard tornado for me in particular. I used to be a fan of the Warrior Cats book series, and so was Emmy Cherry, the 10-year-old daughter of Jimmy and Dana Cherry, who all perished in Atkins. Emmy loved Warriors so much that she had bought every single book, had every type of merchandise, and wrote many book reports on the books. She was also very terrified of storms, which makes me very sad about her final moments, in which she likely heard the very loud roar of the approaching tornado. It must have been a horrific experience, one that I would never wish upon my worst enemy. In her honor, her friends wrote the author of the Warrior Cats series, and she was very moved by her story. The author created three new cats in the book in her and her parent's memory.
The remains of the Cherry Family Home after the tornado. Notice how there is little to no anchoring visible on the foundation of the home:
The reason I believe that this tornado was already violent in the Atkins area is due to the debarking of this hardwood tree, which is on a level very similar to other violent tornadoes.
The tornado was photographed in the Atkins area:
