Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 11/5-11/7

[WesL]

Natchitoches LA-Winn LA-
516 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES AND WEST CENTRAL WINN PARISHES...

At 515 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Campti, or 7
miles northwest of Natchitoches, moving northeast at 30 mph.

 

[Daryl]

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

 

[warneagle]

Some of these are going to be moving into the ArkLaMiss radar hole pretty soon.

 

[warneagle]

more video from the further west of the first two supercells

 

[warneagle]

Mesoanalysis shows an STP of 5 in the area where those supercells are located. Also looks like there will be enough instability in place across NW Mississippi, already 500+ MLCAPE in some areas and that unstable air is still being transported north.

 

[Xenesthis]

So will this make it to southern middle TN? Seems like the main line is hanging back and may allow the unstable air to make it here

 

[The Nino]

this is looking like a linear event for north alabama

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Looks like we are in a bit of a lull, all warnings have been allowed to expire, thankfully as the storms are moving into that radar hole. This first round was a bit of a surprise to me, and the best upper dynamics and surface cyclogenesis have yet to really kick in.

 

[Austin Dawg]

Looks like we are in a bit of a lull, all warnings have been allowed to expire, thankfully as the storms are moving into that radar hole. This first round was a bit of a surprise to me, and the best upper dynamics and surface cyclogenesis have yet to really kick in.

Still watching over here in Texas. Family in North and North Central MS as well as North AL.

Great job by you guys of laying things out for us who are not quite as educated as you in Meteorology,

 

[warneagle]

TWC is showing a new watch but it's not on the SPC website yet...

 

[Bama Ravens]

New tornado watch:

 

[warneagle]

Ah, they put it up right after I posted that just to make me look stupid.

 

[Bama Ravens]

New watch has 60/40 tornado probs.

 

[Xenesthis]

Well that answered my question... so basically the warm unstable air will make it

 

[Hpdb301]

Crazy temps are soaring in n.alabama. up about 4 degrees in the past hr. And a half.

 

[KoD]

Crazy temps are soaring in n.alabama. up about 4 degrees in the past hr. And a half.

Hsv Airport reporting 68F temps and 66F dewpoints (93% relative humidity)

 

[Chris3024]

Folsom Field in Cullman reporting 65° temp and 64°DP (95% relative humidity) as of 6:55pm

 

[Xenesthis]

So are there storms expected to form ahead of the main line now?

 

[The Nino]

air is definitely feeling more unstable up here now