wind

I figured an Enhanced Risk with a 10% hatched tornado area deserved a thread of its own, even if it’s a rather localized and conditional threat. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html (can’t post the images from my phone) There’s a still good bit of model spread on this. The...

We're less than a week away now and guidance points to an event with severe potential. There's a lot of details that need to be sorted out as some operational runs are depicting scenarios less favorable than it's ensembles suggest. We can detail the progress here as the event moves closer and...

Just realized we don't have a thread for this one. Looks like things have been steadily uptrending so I figured I'd post one to organize the discussion.

Since the Euro is starting to hint at potentially a widespread severe weather outbreak for next week, I thought I'd get this thread going as well.. This is concerning.. the November 2002 outbreak similarities to how this system looks so far is uncanny..

Its officially spooky week, which also marks the unofficial beginning of the Dixie Alley cool severe weather season and we have certainly some spooky weather to track. A potent and, if current trends continue, potentially significant severe weather threat exists for MS, AL, and TN as early as...

The dates may change, but the Euro is focusing in on a potential severe threat in the long range. Since there's been some consistency and much discussion, we can keep it focused on this thread.

A potentially dangerously active pattern during the month of April looks to get going with this upcoming system this week. While this currently doesn't look to be a higher end threat in itself (That comes with the next system..), this could potentially prime Dixie for the upcoming threats down...

We have another event shaping up for the Dixie alley region with a decent risk of high rainfall totals and a developing potential for severe weather. Looking at the rainfall totals and taking the least aggressive GFS op run for the day, we are looking at a good soak across a large swath of the...