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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 10/31-11/2 (1 Viewer)


amp1998

Member
Messages
48
Location
Alabama
Now comes the time where everyone is watching the SPC convective outlook page like a hawk waiting,for it to update lol
 

Timhsv

Member
Messages
115
Location
Meridianville, AL.
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer,
With the NAM 3KM and the SREF showing 0-1KM SRH at 440-445( m2 s-2)over North Alabama between 19Z-21Z. That's up there. Will be watching for a spin up
 

Kory

Member
Messages
2,581
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Looks like the batch of storms will cut off moisture transport further north tomorrow. HRRR/NAM 3KM has a QLCS complex moving east along and south of I-20/59.

This was something I was concerned about precluding a larger threat further north. Still a damaging wind/tor threat along and south of 20/59.
 

rolltide_130

Member
Messages
775
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
A potential caveat I'm seeing across the more significant risk area today is too many storms going up and interacting with each other. That will have to be watched closely.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
2,581
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Expansion of the ENH risk. This looks particularly nasty for South/Central LA and into SW MS. There will be opportunity for discrete cells ahead of the main QLCS which will look to pose a tor/damaging wind threat itself.
 

rolltide_130

Member
Messages
775
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
Oh wow this could change things.. CAPE has been HORRIFICALLY underforecast according to SPC mesoanalysis when comparing to last night's model runs..



1541024907550.png
 

rolltide_130

Member
Messages
775
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
Tornado warning on a discrete and very impressive looking supercell in TN near Jackson.

I'm getting worried this could be worse than advertised for areas north of I-20..
 

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