Severe WX Severe Weather Event April 13-14, 2019

[Richardjacks]

Big temperature contrast from NW Louisiana to the Central parts and over into southern Mississippi. I guess when the storms start hitting that much warmer air, things may really light up?

View attachment 1392

yes, I think this is the area to watch in the next several hours.

 

[Richardjacks]

Just based on my social media activity, responses, shares, and comments- I too get the feeling that the threat isn't being taken seriously, hopefully, I am wrong.

 

[Equus]

I'm fair positive that some in AL heard it rain overnight and this morning and thought "haha wow they got it way wrong, it's already over and was just rain, time to go back to watchin' golf"

 

[Tennie]

Radar currently shows what appears to be a fairly solid line of storms about to cross the Mississippi River. Are the parameters on the other side of the river in a favorable position to break the line into discrete cells?

 

[Richardjacks]

Radar currently shows what appears to be a fairly solid line of storms about to cross the Mississippi River. Are the parameters on the other side of the river in a favorable position to break the line into discrete cells?

Take a look at the shear and what happens tonight...east of the MIss River, that might answer your question

 

[Equus]

HRRR still likes the idea of relatively discrete cells well into AL, so I'm more concerned about MS and west AL than I am for much of LA at this point

 

[Richardjacks]

HRRR still likes the idea of relatively discrete cells well into AL, so I'm more concerned about MS and west AL than I am for much of LA at this point

yes, but it could start in west Miss as well....
EDIT
actually after looking at VIS, maybe not. There may be lull between now and when central/east miss begins to fire

 

[Equus]

STP values of 6 well into MS now so I get the feeling MS could be the state to watch overall one stuff starts getting going there

 

[StormStalker]

Close lightning strike just now! Should just be a noisy storm.

 

[Tennie]

Right now I feel as though we're in a "hurry up and wait" position regarding what should be the next part of this event (i.e. the MS part of the event).

 

[Equus]

Chaser reporting fatality at Alto and home swept away (possible mobile home? Lots of undamaged pine trees)

 

[Richardjacks]

Right now I feel as though we're in a "hurry up and wait" position regarding what should be the next part of this event (i.e. the MS part of the event).

yes, that is correct

 

[Equus]

Embedded HP storm headed for Vicksburg is getting 'that' look; if it drops something it's going to be completely rain wrapped

 

[Lori]

 

[Equus]

I fear Vicksburg storm is about to drop something BIG. It's really rapidly wrapping up...

 

[Equus]

There's the TOR. Couplet VERY intense

 

[Richardjacks]

WOW very intense and rain wrapped!

 

[TornadoFan]

Holy crap, that wrapped up in a hurry.

 

[warneagle]

WOW

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]