- Thread starter
- #641
KevinH
Member
You think the rest of April is going to be calm?
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Severe Weather 2023
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
tennessee storm chaser
Member
- Messages
- 1,072
- Reaction score
- 1,318
- Location
- jackson tennessee
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Looks to be. 7 to 10 day break , as trough sets up east after this midweek system .
- Thread starter
- #643
KevinH
Member
Gotcha… the Midwest, plains and south definitely need a break.
I thought I was ready for spring….
I lied…..
JPWX
Member
My thinking is if we do get a break, it'll be very brief. After that, beyond the 15th, it'll get active again.
- Thread starter
- #645
KevinH
Member
Ok
JPWX
Member
Sorry Kevin! We'll get a break in May though. LOL!
- Thread starter
- #647
KevinH
Member
Hey GA has been fairly lucky so far. I’m not complaining. I am sure my days are numbered though!!!
- Moderator
- #648
Fortunately after this current threat, models quite severe weather chances down considerably through the extended.
JPWX
Member
atrainguy
Member
Nature has it out for that part of the country this Spring, eh?
- Messages
- 3,210
- Reaction score
- 4,890
- Location
- California, United States
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Hopefully at least some of that will be beneficial rainfall as opposed to severe weather considering much of Kansas has been experiencing one of its worst droughts in recent memory, if not on record…
As others have stated, looks like we are entering a lull for a few weeks. But wow, what a few weeks it was. Rolling Fork, and then a multiple state major outbreak with two distinct high risks.
Our long range severe weather gurus out there, how are we looking Mid-April, May? My extent of “long range” is looking at the long range models on pivotal weather lol but I know there’s other, more advanced ways.
Our long range severe weather gurus out there, how are we looking Mid-April, May? My extent of “long range” is looking at the long range models on pivotal weather lol but I know there’s other, more advanced ways.
TheSuckZone
Member
Boy do we need some heavy precip here
From South Texas right through the Plains, we are all dealing with drought.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Was the ongoing drought the reason for the unexpected (as least as of model runs 5-7 days out) layer of dry air/EML that busted (relatively speaking) yesterday/today's severe threat?
It was part of the problem since moisture mixed out to an inhibitive degree over several areas (too much dry air around 850 mb), although the biggest issue was the trough hanging back west. The lack of mixing due to mid/upper level cloud cover was an issue south along the dryline. Without that, storms may have formed in OK/TX. Ultimately though, I think this goes a lot differently if the trough had been centered further east and further away from the capping source.
Ivanthetornadoenthusiast
Member
Ummmmmmm what?
- Messages
- 3,210
- Reaction score
- 4,890
- Location
- California, United States
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
They do have a point. I think it's still being speculated if the damage that occurred near Keota was the result of a small dust devil rather than a tornado.
Ivanthetornadoenthusiast
Member
Ummmm. Excuse me?
jiharris0220
Member
Eh, looks like a tornado, though it could also be a wormhole that leads into the 11th dimension. I’m no expert though.