Severe Weather 2023

[KevinH]

looking forward to a few weeks of calm after then5th.

You think the rest of April is going to be calm?

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

You think the rest of April is going to be calm?

Looks to be. 7 to 10 day break , as trough sets up east after this midweek system .

 

[KevinH]

Looks to be. 7 to 10 day break , as trough sets up east after this midweek system .

Gotcha… the Midwest, plains and south definitely need a break.

I thought I was ready for spring….

I lied…..

 

[JPWX]

You think the rest of April is going to be calm?

My thinking is if we do get a break, it'll be very brief. After that, beyond the 15th, it'll get active again.

 

[KevinH]

My thinking is if we do get a break, it'll be very brief. After that, beyond the 15th, it'll get active again.

Ok

 

[JPWX]

Ok

Sorry Kevin! We'll get a break in May though. LOL!

 

[KevinH]

Sorry Kevin! We'll get a break in May though. LOL!

Hey GA has been fairly lucky so far. I’m not complaining. I am sure my days are numbered though!!!

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Fortunately after this current threat, models quite severe weather chances down considerably through the extended.

 

[JPWX]

But not for long.....

 

[atrainguy]

But not for long.....

Nature has it out for that part of the country this Spring, eh?

 

[TH2002]

But not for long.....

Hopefully at least some of that will be beneficial rainfall as opposed to severe weather considering much of Kansas has been experiencing one of its worst droughts in recent memory, if not on record…

 

[ColdFront]

As others have stated, looks like we are entering a lull for a few weeks. But wow, what a few weeks it was. Rolling Fork, and then a multiple state major outbreak with two distinct high risks.

Our long range severe weather gurus out there, how are we looking Mid-April, May? My extent of “long range” is looking at the long range models on pivotal weather lol but I know there’s other, more advanced ways.

 

[TheSuckZone]

But not for long.....

Boy do we need some heavy precip here

 

[Austin Dawg]

Boy do we need some heavy precip here

From South Texas right through the Plains, we are all dealing with drought.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Was the ongoing drought the reason for the unexpected (as least as of model runs 5-7 days out) layer of dry air/EML that Atmospheric Anti-Climax (relatively speaking) yesterday/today's severe threat?

 

[andyhb]

Was the ongoing drought the reason for the unexpected (as least as of model runs 5-7 days out) layer of dry air/EML that Atmospheric Anti-Climax (relatively speaking) yesterday/today's severe threat?

It was part of the problem since moisture mixed out to an inhibitive degree over several areas (too much dry air around 850 mb), although the biggest issue was the trough hanging back west. The lack of mixing due to mid/upper level cloud cover was an issue south along the dryline. Without that, storms may have formed in OK/TX. Ultimately though, I think this goes a lot differently if the trough had been centered further east and further away from the capping source.

 

[Ivanthetornadoenthusiast]

Ummmmmmm what?

 

[TH2002]

Ummmmmmm what?

They do have a point. I think it's still being speculated if the damage that occurred near Keota was the result of a small dust devil rather than a tornado.

 

[Ivanthetornadoenthusiast]

Ummmm. Excuse me?

 

[jiharris0220]

Eh, looks like a tornado, though it could also be a wormhole that leads into the 11th dimension. I’m no expert though.