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Severe Weather 2018 (2 Viewers)

This severe weather season will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%
  • Average

    Votes: 13 59.1%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 2 9.1%

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .

rolltide_130

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775
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Harvest, Alabama
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Really says something when the most memorable tornadoes this year have been in Wyoming, Manitoba, Montana, and Ontario.
To be frank those would be A+ chases (except the Ontario one) in any given year. Its just been the more traditional tornado alley (between I-20 and I-80 from the Wyoming/Colorado/New Mexico border E to I-35) has had a record quiet year so they stand out more.
 
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323
Location
jackson tennessee
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SKYWARN® Volunteer
Wonder with this se ridge being so stout ... could it persist into winter ... causing a active cool weather severe season. ... I know we’re in nino stage. Kind strange with the persistent stout se ridge...
 

warneagle

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Silver Spring, MD
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That confirmed tornado in PA apparently hit a nursing home, hopefully no casualties there. Several discrete supercells tracking across the northern part of the state.

 

Taylor Campbell

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PerryW Project Supporter
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Wedowee, AL
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The remnants of Sergio have made for some really good looking supercells in Texas. The town of Eden, TX is in danger.
 

Taylor Campbell

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PerryW Project Supporter
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570
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Wedowee, AL
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wow... i know its 240 hours out there... but look at the 0z euro ummmm
I think you had a dream last night. I like those dreams too, but in reality I’m not seeing anything that impressive yet. I see potential, but a lot of work is needed.
 

Kory

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2,581
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Overall, the pattern looks stormier, but it looks like a classic "entering El Nino" pattern. As with most patterns, the more active it is, the greater potential of something, but I don't see a particular time frame/system any models are latching onto.
 

rolltide_130

Member
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775
Location
Harvest, Alabama
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Overall, the pattern looks stormier, but it looks like a classic "entering El Nino" pattern. As with most patterns, the more active it is, the greater potential of something, but I don't see a particular time frame/system any models are latching onto.
The monthly temperature outlook for November is a warmer and stormier one too.

I wouldn't be suprised to get at least 1-2 substantial threats between now and mid-December. These entering Nino falls seem to be our more conductive cool season patterns and 2002 is a seasonal analog that's fairly popular.

I'm hoping that translates to a 2003-esque plains season since next May could potentially be by far my longest duration trip out there for a few reasons (Not limited to scouting out a potential move to Denver post-graduation due to an abundance of potential jobs in that area), but I'm not holding my breath on that.
 

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