An EF0 touched down near the LA Memorial Coliseum on December 12, 2014 and a couple more EF0's occurred between 1983 and then, but the Montebello tornado is probably the most significant to strike the area since the 1983 F2.
Yeah nam wants to move best dynamics bit more
I assume the reaction to a tornado on the west coast is similar to the reaction to an earthquake on the east coast
Absolutely, kindve wondering though if instability will mesh well. Seems like dynamics may be lifting out of the area when the higher instability gets there. but we are still pretty early in the game.
Going over latest data I am seeing today , almost 100 percent believe the 30 percent risk will be expanded north …. Tonight’s 0z runs will be interesting
I wish some new code or data would be put into the 3km nam. It needs a update lol. so it wouldn't be so moisture starved on everything haha.
I wish someone a lot more knowledgeable than myself that had an idea about the models’s backend algorithms could answer why GFS is always so “moisture averse” and to an extent 3km NAM
I could concur with that. Something we do not experience much of tends to put us at wonder.
That's plain nasty..
This definitely has a higher ceiling than the recent events that have underperformed. If not an outbreak, I could easily see a violent long-tracker. But the potential for two or more supercells with multiple EF2+ events each appears to be greater than prior to the recent “busts.” As @CheeselandSkies mentioned, the fact that the PDS soundings consistently include solid analogs in both categories is concerning. This has all the main synoptic-scale ingredients in place for a potentially significant event, including the classic broad-based, low-amplitude background. Arguably this has the potential to be that which 1–3 March could have been.
