Hurricane Hurricane Dorian

[DaveFromGA]

 

[Kory]

These west shifts aren't done in my opinion (especially past day 5).

 

[majorhurricane1703]

Look for a landfall most likely from the West Palm area on down to Miami. Then I think it gets into the gulf and heads for either Alabama or Mississippi.

 

[Kory]

Not sure any of these smaller islands had adequate time to prepare for this considering the recent and substantial track shifts.

 

[Jason Ledbetter]

The west and south shift continues on the 12z Euro. Major hurricane at both landfalls on the South Atlantic Florida coast and the Gulf Coast.

I started to ask about this earlier today

 

[akt1985]

How rare is it to get a major hurricane land falling on the east coast of Florida north of West Palm Beach?

 

[Kory]

How rare is it to get a major hurricane land falling on the east coast of Florida north of West Palm Beach?

Very rare. Dora in 1964 was the last one, I believe?

 

[majorhurricane1703]

Anyone think this could be stronger than 115 mph hurricane that is currently forecasted at landfall?

 

[WBB]

Very rare. Dora in 1964 was the last one, I believe?

What about Jeanne in 2004? It was Cat 3 and landfall at Port St. Lucie.

 

[Kory]

What about Jeanne in 2004? It was Cat 3 and landfall at Port St. Lucie.

Ahh, yes. I was thinking Vero Beach not West Palm Beach.

 

[Kory]

 

[warneagle]

The eye has really cleared out and the pressure is down to 990 mb. Strengthening incoming.

 

[StormStalker]

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[TornadoFan]

Dorian sure is looking like a proper hurricane now just looking at RadarScope.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Kory]

The strengthening short term means more south/west later in time. Not good.

 

[majorhurricane1703]

The strengthening short term means more south/west later in time. Not good.

I know it's way too early, but out of curiosity, what's your prediction as to where the center of circulation will come on shore in Florida?

 

[Kory]

I know it's way too early, but out of curiosity, what's your prediction as to where the center of circulation will come on shore in Florida?

Somewhere between Ft. Lauderdale and Vero Beach if I had to guess on current guidance. Might have to slide that south a touch if trends continue.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Timhsv]

The latest HWRF at 12Z Sunday. At 918 mb. This would be catastrophic if verified at landfall.