Winter WX Potential Winter Mischief 1/16

[MikeP]

Has anyone else noticed that winter weather system 2 weeks from now in the GFS that has snow &/or ice down to the Gulf Coast? Obviously thats a ways out but worth noting. To get ice & snow down to the coast means its probably got to get pretty cold. I hope this isnt a TX Feb 21 type event.

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Maybe a different thread started for this one? Lets focus on tomorrow....

 

[KoD]

Isn't that CAL from the old forum?

Yeah that's him. I think he has an account on here too but I've only ever seen a few posts from him over the past few years

 

[brianc33710]

Maybe a different thread started for this one? Lets focus on tomorrow....

Yeah Ill let it go for now.

 

[StormStalker]

Yeah Ill let it go for now.

Can always discuss it in the winter ‘22 thread and create a storm thread once the current storm passes.

 

[brianc33710]

So now BOTH the GFS & the NAM show higher accumulations than currently forecast. Fox 6 did mention a slight change/increase in accumulations. At ABC 33/40, the models seemed to have updated right after he put together the forecast. The models gave Evan accumulations he hadnt accounted for.

I dont know if things will be as clear in the am as some have forecast. I went to Mass tonight so I didnt have to get out Sunday.

 

[TCLwx]

From JAN — early morning band has been “prolific,” resulting in expansion of the WWA and issuance of a WSW.

 

[Richardjacks]

And...no surprise, the wwa is expanded southward.

 

[brianc33710]

O

And...no surprise, the wwa is expanded southward.

You beat me lol! Yeah we both agree that BMX did the right thing including more counties to the WWA!

 

[Richardjacks]

Yep, that's the comma head that's going to rotate through jete

O

You beat me lol! Yeah we both agree that BMX did the right thing including more counties to the WWA!

It looks like the developing comma head is doing its thing in Miss. Now the big question is how much cold air can it produce on its own and bring it down through the column and how quickly, thats what will dictate accumulation amount and lead some areas getting alot of snow, others nearly nothing

 

[Richardjacks]

York in Sumter Co in southwest Alabama is reporting 1" of snow, per Twitter. I don't know how accurate that is.

 

[TCLwx]

York in Sumter Co in southwest Alabama is reporting 1" of snow, per Twitter. I don't know how accurate that is.

FWIW 36.9F in Tuscaloosa.

 

[Richardjacks]

FWIW 36.9F in Tuscaloosa.

I would think snow would be mixing in, but seeing no reports of that yet

 

[The Bammer]

Richard, now that the event is unfolding in real time, what are your thoughts on north/central Alabama?

 

[Mr. Clark]

Really good snow shower on the West side of Madison, AL right now but it doesn't appear to be accumulating on any surface yet.

 

[Richardjacks]

Richard, now that the event is unfolding in real time, what are your thoughts on north/central Alabama?

There will be some accumulations...thats about all I can say. I came up with this map last night, i have low confidence it will actually turn out this way....especially if the York report of 1" is correct, it is already busting.

 

[Mike S]

Rain/snow mix in Meridianville

 

[Richardjacks]

Here atop Red Mountain we are down to 39.0°

 

[The Bammer]

38.3 in the Wheat community in Southwest Cullman County on Smith Lake with a light rain.

 

[mdberry]

Pretty heavy snow now in Meridianville / Hazel Green, north of Huntsville. It is starting to stick.

 

[The Bammer]

Temp has dropped a full degree in the last 20 minutes. Maybe it won't be long before it transitions here.