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WAFF's Brandon Spinner with a very good write up on possible impacts for North Alabama:
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Current Winter Weather Discussions: Live Mode Enabled for Members January 20-22, 2022 Winter Threat -
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Winter WX Potential Winter Mischief 1/16 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Mike S
- Start date
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- Tags
- alabama snow winter weather
pritchlaw
Member
How often do the models put out new runs?
Weatherphreak
Member
I was looking at driving to North Georgia Monday to do some hiking. I read the discussion and some of the hazardous weather posts from the nws and it sounds like it may be more of an ice event over there. Anybody have any insight on what things might look like in the Blairsville Brasstown Bald area Sunday Monday? They are right on the edge in all the models. Would be cool if the roads were clear and it was snowy in the upper elevations.
The real difference between the nam and other models is the handling of downstream energy and the elongated/pivot of the deepening upper low. If it's forced to slow down/dig and pivot suggested by the nam, it will be a major event for Alabama.
Since this isn't supported by the gfs or euro, I am hesitant to believe it is right.
Since this isn't supported by the gfs or euro, I am hesitant to believe it is right.
The 18z gfs is close enough, you got to put snow in the forecast....999mb low in central GA deepening upper low. I get the feeling it is underplaying the precip on the west side along with dynamic cooling.
k0skinne
Member
I live to the west of that area, but that spot is generally in the heart of NE Georgia CAD areas. Based upon current trends and forecasts, to say that getting there will be challenging may be an understatement. That is a beautiful area though ... and it would be great hiking if you could get there.
JPWX
Member
I'm really shocked by how quiet it is on here especially with an impending significant winter storm.
pritchlaw
Member
I was thinking the same thing. I keep checking it and nobody is saying much of anything.
Why the weird "hump" around the Bham area?
Makes me laugh considering what people were saying two weeks ago about Bham always getting left out or being 900 degrees when everywhere else has dropped below freezing.
2 reasons for the hump: dry slot and delayed cold air due to the surface low being a little further west and north.
Thanks...the dreaded dry slot strikes again for Bham!
if the surface lows tracks slightly more south, and the upper low slows down and pivots a little west, it would be much different.
bwalk
Member
Yes - I remember the 'old days' when there was a potential snow event. This board would have what seemed like 100s of active commenters crawling over each other. It was amazing. I don't know what has changed as this board can still get super busy with potential tornado events.
Weatherphreak
Member
Hasn’t been as active since the crash or whatever happened on to the old board.
brianc33710
Member
I was logging in now as well. And Cen AL looks most likely to just get snow. I know that this may sound strange, but I find freezing rain fascinating. And yes I know its very dangerous & Bham very narrowly avoided a significant ice storm last February. Parts of NW & W AL got over 0.5". Still, good or bad, the phenomenon intrigues me.
brianc33710
Member
So why does the line go south again over E AL? Its like theres a skinny warm front on the diagram.
Main reason is the dry slot...then as the 2ndry low takes over pushes the precip back over the northeast corner as is exits northeast...too far east for central al.So why does the line go south again over E AL? Its like theres a skinny warm front on the diagram.
akt1985
Member
Surprised there is no Winter Storm Watch yet for north and central Alabama.