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This severe weather season will be?

  • Much Above Average

    Votes: 4 9.3%
  • Above Average

    Votes: 26 60.5%
  • Average

    Votes: 6 14.0%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 5 11.6%
  • Much Below Average

    Votes: 2 4.7%

  • Total voters
    43
  • Poll closed .
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pritchlaw

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Looking like Central Alabama is going to finish winter without any measurable snow.
 

MichelleH

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I think because of how the last two backpedaled from what was dubbed a significant event. This Tuesday/Wednesday event has some red flags with a heck of an EML and crazy shear values (similar to 1/10-1/11). I think moisture return is still questionable but we’re seeing a better signal for higher moisture return with models slowing this from Tuesday into Wednesday.

Alex Puckett at WHNT in Huntsville is already talking about the possibility next week and wrote a blog post about it.
 
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Looking like Central Alabama is going to finish winter without any measurable snow.

We had a pretty good run during the 2010's with some decent snowfalls, at least here along the northern edge of Central Alabama. I wonder if we are heading back into a pattern of winters with little to no snow. Was it December of 2017 when we had our last decent one?
 

pritchlaw

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We had a pretty good run during the 2010's with some decent snowfalls, at least here along the northern edge of Central Alabama. I wonder if we are heading back into a pattern of winters with little to no snow. Was it December of 2017 when we had our last decent one?
We had one then for sure according to my Facebook memories the ladt couple of days. Ladt February was very warm though.
 

akt1985

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Some weather futures guy from Cantor Fitzgerald that was this week’s guest talking about the same pattern that brought the October tornadoes in Dallas and the December 16th tornadoes of last year predicted the same MJO phase would conclude with severe weather on or around April 10th. You can make and place bets on weather.
 
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Some weather futures guy from Cantor Fitzgerald that was this week’s guest talking about the same pattern that brought the October tornadoes in Dallas and the December 16th tornadoes of last year predicted the same MJO phase would conclude with severe weather on or around April 10th. You can make and place bets on weather.
whats the over and under for tornadoes in the south this spring?
 

Mike S

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Some weather futures guy from Cantor Fitzgerald that was this week’s guest talking about the same pattern that brought the October tornadoes in Dallas and the December 16th tornadoes of last year predicted the same MJO phase would conclude with severe weather on or around April 10th. You can make and place bets on weather.

not trying to sound like a smart alleck but predicting tornadoes "on or around" any date in April in the southeast isn't exactly stepping out on a limb.
 

Kory

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march 15 to march 25th... tornado risk is elevated with even some strong tornadoes put out today by BAM wx for dixie alley and parts mid south
I see nothing to indicate a more favorable pattern. We’re still in high AAM with a northerly shifted pacific jet leading to cutoffs. Earlier this week was the exception to an otherwise unfavorable pattern. It has been unfavorable for a large portion of the last 4-6 weeks.
 

KoD

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march 15 to march 25th... tornado risk is elevated with even some strong tornadoes put out today by BAM wx for dixie alley and parts mid south
Just as well, elevated tornado risk April 1st-30th for the southeast CONUS and arklatex. Models show warming temperatures and moisture advection from the GOM which is consistent with historical trends. ;)
 
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