Winter Weather/Ice Storm Threat January 30 - February 3, 2023 - Ice Ice Baby

[UncleJuJu98]

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Perhaps this thread should be retitled, since mid-next week appears to have solidly trended away from a severe/tornado threat.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Perhaps this thread should be retitled, since mid-next week appears to have solidly trended away from a severe/tornado threat.

I'd just add winter weather/severe. Model trends are too wild lol and it may be a case where both severe and winter weather both happen lol.

 

[KevinH]

I'd just add winter weather/severe. Model trends are too wild lol and it may be a case where both severe and winter weather both happen lol.

“Winter and/or severe threat” lol

 

[KevinH]

Perhaps this thread should be retitled, since mid-next week appears to have solidly trended away from a severe/tornado threat.

Yeah this is why I tend to avoid making threads THIS far out, unless the SPC highlights a day. Other than that the models can (and do) change/flip flop several times.

 

[JPWX]

The Canadian has been the most bullish model so far with the significant ice storm potential. When looking at the 12z run today, it certainly made my eyes wide. Plus the fact that North MS really hasn't had a significant ice storm since the one in 94 by long lasting and high accumulation totals.

 

[JBishopwx]

Memphis Hazardous Weather Outlook this afternoon: "Confidence is increasing for wintry precipitation next Tuesday /Wednesday as a cold front stalls over the region."

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=HWOMEG&e=202301262045

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Memphis Hazardous Weather Outlook this afternoon: "Confidence is increasing for wintry precipitation next Tuesday /Wednesday as a cold front stalls over the region."

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=HWOMEG&e=202301262045

That's not good, lol that sounds like a icy event not snow

 

[JPWX]

12z Canadian. Very nasty look.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

12z Canadian. Very nasty look.
View attachment 17255View attachment 17256

Thats enough to shut down cities for weeks almost lol. 3 inches good gosh. Luckily it seems the Canadian is a extreme outlier right now

 

[ashtonlemleywx]

Freezing rain is arguably one of the most difficult events to predict in weather forecasting. The smallest variation in temp and air layering can have huge impacts.

 

[ashtonlemleywx]

Main difference between Canadian and GFS/Euro is that the Canadian stalls out the cold front longer and further south.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Good grief hahahahah .

Not sure if this is comedy or somebody actually believing this lol, it's hard to tell with some people. Leaning on the side of this being comedy

 

[MichelleH]

I'll take whatever he has been drinking.

I think he's been drinking it up his nose.

 

[JPWX]

Good grief hahahahah .

Not sure if this is comedy or somebody actually believing this lol, it's hard to tell with some people. Leaning on the side of this being comedy

Remember kids. This is what happens when you sniff glue

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Remember kids. This is what happens when you sniff glue

Lol

 

[Gail]

I hate severe weather, but I’ll take it over ice. I’d prefer snow all day, any day though.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hate to say it but there's becoming a lot more model agreement on a decent ice threat for the Tennessee valley.

The Canadian, GFS, and euro all have the same idea.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Somebody somewhere is gunna get hammered. in-between Kentucky Arkansas and Tennessee ; Maybe portions of north Mississippi and Alabama is where my guess is. Quite evident that relatively shallow cold air will overspread some areas and create some icey conditions.

Silver lining is daytime heating and arrival may stop it completely lol, we will see not as extreme of a cold blast to overcome daytime heating. Temperatures may stay just above freezing on the ground preventing any serious threat of ice... Only time will tell.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Retitled. It's time to build a snowman.