Severe WX Wednesday/Thursday/Friday April 17th-19th Severe Threat

[TornadoFan]

Oklahoma had its first tornado of the year.

 

[Equus]

Granted most setups along the central Gulf Coast turn into a mixed mode stratiform mess but looks rather impressive nonetheless. Might fill the storm reports gap we missed in the MDT from the last event then be a significant wind event here... with any isolated cells just icing on the danger cake. Will probably see that line in the distance from the air flying out from Atlanta... gonna be some evasive actions

 

[Kory]

Granted most setups along the central Gulf Coast turn into a mixed mode stratiform mess but looks rather impressive nonetheless. Might fill the storm reports gap we missed in the MDT from the last event then be a significant wind event here... with any isolated cells just icing on the danger cake. Will probably see that line in the distance from the air flying out from Atlanta... gonna be some evasive actions

Check out the MDT with recent surveys. It’s filling it with tor reports.

 

[Richardjacks]

Granted most setups along the central Gulf Coast turn into a mixed mode stratiform mess but looks rather impressive nonetheless. Might fill the storm reports gap we missed in the MDT from the last event then be a significant wind event here... with any isolated cells just icing on the danger cake. Will probably see that line in the distance from the air flying out from Atlanta... gonna be some evasive actions

I fully expect pics

 

[TileDude]

BMX afternoon discussion mentions they will be expanding the enhanced risk area.

 

[kcyalater]

BMX afternoon discussion mentions they will be expanding the enhanced risk area.

To the south east yes. Absolutely no reason to expand it north.

 

[Kory]

To the south east yes. Absolutely no reason to expand it north.

Care to elaborate?

 

[Brandon]

Granted most setups along the central Gulf Coast turn into a mixed mode stratiform mess but looks rather impressive nonetheless. Might fill the storm reports gap we missed in the MDT from the last event then be a significant wind event here... with any isolated cells just icing on the danger cake. Will probably see that line in the distance from the air flying out from Atlanta... gonna be some evasive actions

I'm scheduled to fly out of BHM at 7:30pm tomorrow...that has the potential to be really exciting, as well as the drive down from HSV in the afternoon. I think I'll drive my beater truck down in case of hail.

 

[apocalyptic_pleasures]

At 7:30 p.m. (CT) Wednesday, join WKRG's Chief Meteorologist Alan Sealls as he hosts a digital-only weather report joined by meteorologists from Nexstar stations across Alabama (WIAT), Louisiana (KARD, WVLA, KLFY), and Mississippi (WJTV).

Live Stream https://www.wkrg.com/live-stream

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

One concern that I have is that I am constantly seeing on these future radars on local tv the presence of a well defined bow echo heading for the Birmingham metro area.

 

[rolltide_130]

0z HRRR coming in pretty unimpressive as it has a very large region of stratiform out ahead of the line to slow it's momentum and stabilize the atmosphere which is a common "Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency" mode in these types of events.

 

[Mike S]

Confirmed tornado near Shattuck, OK.

Our daughter's family lived there. Tiny, quaint town about 30 miles from Woodward(site of the infamous 1947 tornado).

 

[MattPetrulli]

00z suite very unimpressive so far.

 

[kcyalater]

00z suite very unimpressive so far.

RIP threat.

 

[MikeP]

I'm scheduled to fly out of BHM at 7:30pm tomorrow...that has the potential to be really exciting, as well as the drive down from HSV in the afternoon. I think I'll drive my beater truck down in case of hail.

Donno that large hail is a very big threat tomorrow. Looking to be some really cold air aloft Friday though....

 

[RollTide18]

RIP threat.

SPC mentions the possibility of strong tornadoes.

 

[AL_ham_op]

RIP threat.

Well, this threat dissipated quickly. At least according to that model.

 

[darkskys25]

Spc significantly pulled the hatched area back further south and that makes more sense. Enhanced was trimmed but needs to be trimmed further imo.

 

[Bama Ravens]

There are some pretty nasty UH streaks coming off the HRRR.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

I dunno, looking at the radar composite loop it looks like the main QLCS is still back west of the ENH area, with little ongoing precip there and not much along the coast. Satellite shows pockets of clear sky over E. LA/MS/AL. If instability is/was expected to be the primary limiting factor for this event, I wouldn't sleep on it just yet.