Kory
Member
The worst of the QLCS runs north of the ENH risk. Some nasty streaks in that thing later today from MS into AL.
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This is a friggin joke. C'mon SPCLooks like the Enhanced Risk was expanded slightly to the north on the latest SPC outlook.
This is a friggin joke. C'mon SPC
That’s what I was referring to. We have knee jerk responses to a couple CAM runs and the outlook trimmed back and then immediately updated nearly to original extent north.I think Mr. Edwards has a good handle on the 13z outlook. A nudge to the North is appropriate, as the 6z outlook was too conservative.
A modulating influence, however, may be storm mode. The bulk of
convection should be quasi-linear, with only conditional potential
of warm-sector supercells surviving long enough to become tornadic
in that favorable environment before being overtaken by the MCS.
QLCS tornadoes (which occasionally can become significant also,
though not to the frequency and duration of supercellular ones) also
are possible as the convective band impinges on the high-SRH and
marginally to moderately unstable boundary layer. For now, will
maintain the significant-tornado area with some peripheral
modifications.
That’s what I was referring to. We have knee jerk responses to a couple CAM runs and the outlook trimmed back and then immediately updated nearly to original extent north.
We can’t even get consistency from one agency over the course of one day much less across several government agencies.
sure suggests a bow echo/derecho pointing right at B'ham.
I saw that in the MAX UH, so Im wondering whats with SPC thinking's?The worst of the QLCS runs north of the ENH risk. Some nasty streaks in that thing later today from MS into AL.
A modulating influence, however, may be storm mode. The bulk of
convection should be quasi-linear, with only conditional potential
of warm-sector supercells surviving long enough to become tornadic
in that favorable environment before being overtaken by the MCS.
QLCS tornadoes (which occasionally can become significant also,
though not to the frequency and duration of supercellular ones) also
are possible as the convective band impinges on the high-SRH and
marginally to moderately unstable boundary layer.
I dont remember any model showing tcl td that high this early74/64 in Tuscaloosa with sun.