- Moderator
- #161
The GFS is concerning in that it keeps significant severe parameters around well into the night around midnight in the Mobile, AL region.
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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat January 23-25, 2023
- Thread starter Lake Martin EF4
- Start date
y
Once the system gets on land on the west coast usually you'll see some.uptick or changes as it has better sampling.
I'm dreading that the closer we get that the globals will do this with the deep south. I mentioned there was a few features that'd support this. And I dread that will see a slow uptick.
Once the system gets on land on the west coast usually you'll see some.uptick or changes as it has better sampling.
KevinH
Member
That starts about two days before an event or so right?
4 days I think maybe 3. But the Texas range that Taylor showed is around 3.
KevinH
Member
So we should see this system come on land shortly then…
Looking at modeling around within about 24-30 hours.
It kindve skirts the Alaska Canada coast before reaching Washington and Oregon. So idk may have already been sampled, I don't know the dynamics of it, I've just read and seen how it works sometimes.
TileDude
Member
Echoes of April 27th high wind speeds at the surface. Big inflow potential.
Also no this is not going to be like April 27th 2011 lol. But this could be a significant weather event. Which is just as impactful to whoever it hits if this event produces.
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You kidding me?
Remember it was coming up but didn't realized it would been this soon.
KevinH
Member
I swear they wait until they see a threat THEN decide to start one of these updates SMH
Nice little deadzone for Tuesday, I hope they reconsider just in case. 
Brandon radar will be down mid Feburary and Columbus AFB mid March.
KevinH
Member
Maybe plan for these upgrades between May and October instead???? Just a thought
ashtonlemleywx
Member
Someone will step in and delay the upgrade if a threat is significant enough. They did the same thing in Little Rock a few months ago.
KevinH
Member
That is a good point.
- Moderator
- #177
They will probably postpone should a significant threat materialize.
Link for schedule radar upgrades: https://www.roc.noaa.gov/wsr88d/PublicDocs/SLEP/Pedestal-SLEP-Update-1-6-23.pdf
Not sure what's the reason for Andrew Brady's MMFS forecast post delays. Really interested in seeing it.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Can't really count on any time of year being safe from severe weather in the South...and in the summer there are landfalling TCs to contend with as well.
I don't see any of the radars in the northern Midwest on that link, but for example scheduling one on KMKX from May through August would be asking for trouble, but watch, they'll schedule it for March and a significant severe threat will materialize for that week.