Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - February 15-16, 2023

[UncleJuJu98]

Was not expecting no tornado or even severe thunderstorm warnings in MS/AL/TN at 2120Z based this morning's HRRR runs, that's for sure.

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I'm ready to hear treys breakdown , I've learned a lot by his videos alone.

We still arent out of the woods yet. I'd watch for a sneaky tornado threat in south central / south Alabama moving forward.

 

[Bama Ravens]

Storm mode in central/south MS and into Alabama seems pretty messy right now. Wonder if that’s going to hinder things?

 

[Richardjacks]

Storm mode in central/south MS and into Alabama seems pretty messy right now. Wonder if that’s going to hinder things?

I am still concerned that as the low level jet ramps up a bit this evening, there will be enough instability remaining. We are still in February, so it doesn't take as much.

 

[Tennie]

The circulation near Soso, MS, looks to be the strongest one currently. We'll have to see what it does.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This cell near Silas is intriguing.. moving forward it may be one a issue.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Extremely weak low level lapse rates may be some of our issue today. I remember them being forecasted to be around 6.5 to 7 for a good portion of central Alabama if I'm correct. Need more high lapse rates than that for any substantial rotation or storms.

 

[Thanksgivingbrown]

Umm that storm near Lawrenceburg, TN may be producing

 

[TVILLE96]

Cloudy and rainy here in Hoover. Is it possible that central AL might be worked over before these cells get here?


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I was wondering the same thing, Its dropped three degrees when the rain started here in Trussville.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Woah that cell near Amory Mississippi

 

[Justin Hindman]

This has been insane how everything has behaved for the most part

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I would really watch out this thing looks good.

 

[jackiesgeorge]

tornado warning for smithville ms

 

[Tennie]

Ryan Hall just showed an image of a rockslide that's blocking KY 52 in Breathitt County.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

tornado warning for smithville ms

It's about to drop something. If not already

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Storm of the day!

 

[The Nino]

It's about to drop something. If not already

rotation just tightened up

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Treat this as a tornado on the ground. This is a very serious rotation

 

[kcyalater]

wow that thing bombed out fast. 20 minutes from nothing to a nasty couplet

 

[jackiesgeorge]

tornado on the ground Smithville

 

[UncleJuJu98]

tornado on the ground Smithville

Oh gosh. Very bad situation that's a seriously strong rotation that low to the ground