significant risk thereHow do things look further north into TN in your opinion?
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significant risk thereHow do things look further north into TN in your opinion?
Will probably hinge on how this S MS stuff develops as it propagates into AL, but would defer any more detailed answers to the experts.Any chance part of the Enhanced area upgrades to Moderate?
I think the key ingredient they are watching for is the low level jet and backing of winds, if that trends higher than expected, they will prob pull the trigger, assuming everything else goes as expectedWill probably hinge on how this S MS stuff develops as it propagates into AL, but would defer any more detailed answers to the experts.
I'm watching and waiting to see how the area in North Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee start to form up, whether they are discrete or linear. Central Alabama south Mississippi, and Alabama look like they're going to be interesting if the conditions are right.South MS starting to look a bit linear and the couple of discreet cells out ahead haven't gotten going yet.
Not looking too bad NOW, but that can change very quickly in a matter of hours. If NFO (BMX) is not even sure of how things are going to go, then we definitely wan to be either. Don’t let your guard down and stay safe!!!!Yeah, I wouldn’t be too excited for this setup as a chaser…but very enthusiastic as someone who is living under the risk that it isn’t looking too bad.
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BMX has been conducting them every 6 hours. I believe I read where PERiLS is also releasing balloons across the western part of Alabama today.has there been any real time soundings put out by any national weather service stations?
What a detailed update! Sometimes I wish we could clone the folks at BMX and place them at FFC.
At the moment, I'm most impressed with the cell just east of Parkers Crossroads, TN.
In the late spring and summer lol. It's almost a reverse setup than our typical winter ones lol
Wow. How often do you see dixie have good thermals but the low level winds are meh?
LLJ could still kick this up in a hurry, and I'd imagine northern MS up into TN is much more robust kinematically.