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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - February 15-16, 2023

KevinH said:
They do it because they get a lot of “practice” that they dont have a choice in LOL…. IMO, FCC does not get to track/forecast/warn the same kind of weather as often as BMX does. AL is directly to the north of the GOF and has direct access to warm air. GA has FL to the south which can kind of “block” that surge of moisture AL can get so easily. GA is also further east so the ingredients have to come together differently (for lack of a better word) than they do in AL. The only exception might be NW GA (like Rome/Ringold, and may Newnan). Those are the only 2 EF4s GA has had that I know of.

That is not to say AL outbreaks are IMPOSSIBLE for GA, just seems to be less likely here… FOR NOW.
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If my math is not off, Georgia has had 10 F/EF-4s since 1950 (and several more before then). Definitely not as many as Alabama, as they have experienced 7 F/EF-5s alone. Typically, the significant tornado events that affect west-central/northwest/north-central Georgia are the result of long-lived tornadic supercells that have previously pillaged Alabama. This isn't the time to dive into deeper discussion, but that area of northern Georgia, as well as south Georgia (extreme southern FFC/northern TAE CWA's) have very high tornado counts...just not as many violent (F/EF-4 and 5) events.
 
These storms are really starting to fire now. It is going to be a long night. Stay Weather Aware and have a plan.
 

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NorthGaWeather said:
If my math is not off, Georgia has had 10 F/EF-4s since 1950 (and several more before then). Definitely not as many as Alabama, as they have experienced 7 F/EF-5s alone. Typically, the significant tornado events that affect west-central/northwest/north-central Georgia are the result of long-lived tornadic supercells that have previously pillaged Alabama. This isn't the time to dive into deeper discussion, but that area of northern Georgia, as well as south Georgia (extreme southern FFC/northern TAE CWA's) have very high tornado counts...just not as many violent (F/EF-4 and 5) events.
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Yeah, the post replied to had me interested lol so I checked on torarchive (First Image) If we are talking about strictly EF4s, then its the second image: (+ the one in April 2022) - Though pretty sure at least one of these didn't actually produce EF4 damage in the state of Georgia itself.
 

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NorthGaWeather said:
If my math is not off, Georgia has had 10 F/EF-4s since 1950 (and several more before then). Definitely not as many as Alabama, as they have experienced 7 F/EF-5s alone. Typically, the significant tornado events that affect west-central/northwest/north-central Georgia are the result of long-lived tornadic supercells that have previously pillaged Alabama. This isn't the time to dive into deeper discussion, but that area of northern Georgia, as well as south Georgia (extreme southern FFC/northern TAE CWA's) have very high tornado counts...just not as many violent (F/EF-4 and 5) events.
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You make a good point. The Rome/Ringgold and the Newnan tornadoes both started in AL. And I did not know about the EF4s prior top 2011 (lol). And your comment about north and south GA rings a bell. The most violent tornadoes are up by North Atlanta, or down by the Albany area. Very interesting.
 
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