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Severe WX Severe Weather Event April 13-14, 2019

There has been no debris signature on the Marengo storm from what I can tell, but that's definitely one of the most violent mesos of the day. Probably had a couple weak touchdowns if nothing significant because that signature is the most persistent of probably any storm of the event. Isolated supercells ahead of the line mean business in this shear environment...
 
Day 1 is out and I did not see it posted here yet. , As a complete newbie who lives in Georgia right below Atlanta, how much confidence is there in this panning out to being a 'less severe' threat as they are predicting, as they just dropped my area from the enhanced risk to slight risk? I hope all of you are staying safe this evening.
 

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It's going to be a long night. HRRR just doesn't look like it's ready to let anyone off the hook.
 
Greensboro storm seems slightly weaker on velocity, but still a decently significant couplet. Would have seen CC drops as it moved over town if a significant tornado were down, I think.
 
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That's 30 miles north of me and a sparsely populated area....
Glad to hear it is sparsely populated. Even more glad to hear you are okay.
 
Tornado Warning for Bibb, Tuscaloosa [AL] till 3:00 AM CDT ...AT 203 AM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MERTZ, OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENSBORO, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
 
Day 1 is out and I did not see it posted here yet. , As a complete newbie who lives in Georgia right below Atlanta, how much confidence is there in this panning out to being a 'less severe' threat as they are predicting, as they just dropped my area from the enhanced risk to slight risk? I hope all of you are staying safe this evening.

Several models show the Torcon values increasing again as this moves into Ga as heating gets going. I usually still listen to the SPC as they are official and usually more correct than any model but watch their updates.
 
I realized about 20-30 minutes ago that the Marengo/Perry storm was on a direct path my way. The HRRR also decides to bullseye me.

Not liking this trend.
 
BMX issues Tornado Warning [tornado: RADAR INDICATED, hail: <.75 IN] for Hale, Perry [AL] till 2:45 AM CDT ...AT 209 AM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER GREENSBORO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT, OR NEAR GREENSBORO, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

Mother nature isn't ready to go to bed apparently...
 
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