Kds86z
Member
HAZARD WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS;
HOWEVER, SOME TORNADO THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE FROM PORTIONS OF IN
AND OH INTO MIDDLE TN WITHIN THE ZONE OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
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HAZARD WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS;
TNI values are currently at almost +3. You can even see the extreme temperature gradient across the equatorial pacific. Hard to imagine this won't lead to significant severe weather in the coming weeks/months.
View attachment 54398
It also looks like a favorable pattern could set up about a month from now and severe weather will impact the Northern Plains and Midwest before shifting south towards the Tennessee valley.GFS has been moderately consistent with a shortwave or three moving through the Midwest around the 8/7-11 timeframe; exact timing, placement and ceiling varies from run to run as to be expected at this range.

