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Severe Weather 2021

Brice Wood said:
So any hints on what the rest of April is supposed to look like?
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Relatively quiet, based on posts on other forums. The MJO is not or will not be in a favorable state for CONUS severe weather. Not to say there can't still be systems, but they will likely be of the split flow, cut-off variety like the one we have just been dealing with. They can overachieve a bit locally as we have seen, but probably not any high-ceiling, widespread outbreaks/outbreak sequences for the next 2-3 weeks at least.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Relatively quiet, based on posts on other forums. The MJO is not or will not be in a favorable state for CONUS severe weather. Not to say there can't still be systems, but they will likely be of the split flow, cut-off variety like the one we have just been dealing with. They can overachieve a bit locally as we have seen, but probably not any high-ceiling, widespread outbreaks/outbreak sequences for the next 2-3 weeks at least.
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Personally can’t see the mjo sitting n same position for long period time ... end of third week on the month ... other wise last week April heading into early
May should see uptick
 
There's a pretty stout low around that 4/25 time period in the upper midwest. I'd think the bulk of the wind energy would be in the Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky region. Still 10 days out etc.
 
Weatherphreak said:
There's a pretty stout low around that 4/25 time period in the upper midwest. I'd think the bulk of the wind energy would be in the Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky region. Still 10 days out etc.
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GFS has been waffling on exactly how this will take shape and whether it has any chance of providing interesting/chaseable severe weather somewhere in the central CONUS. To be expected at this range, at least nice to have something to keep an eye on.
 
We just had a nice hail storm roll through here go right on through round rock and is now heading east of here actually getting stronger. I could actually hear the sound of the hail hitting the ground northwest of me before it got here it was crazy! I would upload the video I made of it but I don't have a host site.

Image 4-15-21 at 4.12 PM.jpg
 
Take this with a grain of salt obviously as this potential event is still a ways away, but Windy is showing some strong and potentially severe storms tracking across the southern Plains and Dixie Alley for April 23-24
Screenshot_20210416-095421_Windy.jpg
Screenshot_20210416-095431_Windy.jpg
 
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