Hurricanes can cause upwelling of waters at any time. If future storms pass over previous storms upwelling path, their strength may fall off or they will stop intensifying.
Yes, but it depends more on path the storms take than anything.
It's sadly a tale as old as time that the people impacted by disasters get forgotten soon after the direct threat passes. I'm really concerned about possible obstacles to delivering the necessary amount of aid to Jamaica - even with extensive airlift capability and aid ships, it may not get to people in a timely manner, especially if airfields are damaged and if there's debris cluttering ports. Emergency responders will likely struggle to reach certain spots, and will concentrate on the major population centers, which will, unfortunately, exacerbate excess casualties. Aside from those likely hurdles, she's just such a large storm compared to Jamaica that the needs will be high island-wide. Hospital ships might be a good option here, coupled with medevac helicopters, which can reach austere areas, including elevated regions that would be particularly difficult to reach by land.
Yep, they only the affect the surface of the area where they pass, and push heat content deep into the oceans that will get distributed out over a much longer time period by currents. As slow and strong as she is, I expect the surface effect will be easily seen on a before and after. But you are exactly right - that heat content is so anomalously off the charts this year that it will likely still be plenty hot.
Thankfully, Sangster airport in Montego Bay (northeast side of the island) should remain relatively fine, but it's a 2-hour drive to Kingston without traffic, never mind after a hurricane.
Yeah, while it is a nicely-sized strip, its distance from so many of the population centers could be a real problem. Kingston's Norman Manley and Tinson Pen, which are large and serviceable airstrips for cargo planes, are in extremely vulnerable locations. If Sangster and Ian Fleming end up being the only readily-operable airports on the island, that would really hinder delivery of air-delivered aid to Kingston. Ships could get close to Kingston, even with a lot of debris in Kingston Harbor, but it would then need to be delivered by trucks, which are slow and easily blocked by road obstructions, or by helicopter, which is fairly limited by capacity.
I fear hwy2000 will have some landslide issues in the mountains - if it gets cut off, Kingston is going to be in a world of hurt, because there is little chance the airport isn't unusable for a while, if it's even still there after. It's IN the harbor.
What a buzzsaw. Geez.
