CoreyandFrosty
Member
Wow this hurricane really is huge in size. If the track is just right, I could see Atlanta getting hurricane force winds.
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Archive Former Major Hurricane Irma
- Thread starter JayF
- Start date
18z GFS comes in a good bit west of the previous GFS runs, closer to the Euro. Rides up Florida but the center stays over land the whole time, before hooking through N GA and N AL.
The west trend today is concerning, if it continues too much you'd have somewhere like Tampa potentially being in the worst location.
But, that's getting ahead of things. Best to do now is just watch and wait.
The west trend today is concerning, if it continues too much you'd have somewhere like Tampa potentially being in the worst location.
But, that's getting ahead of things. Best to do now is just watch and wait.
CoreyandFrosty
Member
If this hurricane rides up Fl, it will be very weak by the time it reaches Atlanta right? No way category 1 winds can reach ATL if this is over land the whole time.
gangstonc
Member
Southern florida doesn't do much to weaken hurricanes due the the Everglades.
MikeP
Member
I've been blown away (no pun intended) by the longevity of Irma's intensity - I'm sure like everyone else. One thing I haven't noticed are any ERC's. Did I just miss them? Have she even had any over the last 36+ hours? Or at all? I know conditions have been like a 'all you can eat buffet". Just curious....
David in SW Blount
Member
I don't think I'm really comprehending that a strong Cat 4 or Cat 5 I s on a collision course with one of the largest metro areas in the U.S. Surreal and frightening.
John Jaye
Member
Supposedly the trough that is bringing us ( in N AL) the nice weather today will kick it out to the east. My concern is that the trough will move out more quickly than forecast or that the storm will slow some and let it ride up the backside of the trough. I haven't seen that modeled anywhere, but it is something that I have been considering for the past few days. Also, Mark Sudduth at Hurricane Track.com is a really good resource for all hurricanes. His HurricaneImpact app is something I look at regularly. I have no connection to him at all, just appreciate his work.
David in SW Blount
Member
I thought the current trough is leaving and the next one will be the one turning Irma into Florida in about 48 hours.
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bingcrosbyb
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bingcrosbyb
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That is seriously my dream. I wanna do that!
MikeP
Member
She's starting to look a little less intense on infrared. At lest on the Northwest side. ERC commencing....Edit: SST's are about to go up though....
Last edited:
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- #214
While we wait for the 00z runs, the official NHC track has shifted west.
Pluviophile
Member
Well, *that's* not exactly hitting the Georgia and South Carolina coast... That brings it to my back yard!While we wait for the 00z runs, the official NHC track has shifted west.
MikeP
Member
Bama forecast might be changing.....
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Exactly what I didn't want to see. Geez. Much more west and we have a whole other animal on our hands.
MikeP
Member
ERC is happening....
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"weakened" to a Cat 4.
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 37A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017
...CORE OF HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST TO MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS AND THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.8N 74.7W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM NE OF CABO LUCRECIA CUBA
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...927 MB...27.37 INCHES
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 37A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017
...CORE OF HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST TO MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS AND THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.8N 74.7W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM NE OF CABO LUCRECIA CUBA
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...927 MB...27.37 INCHES
