NorthGaWeather
Member
12z Euro clearly increases the wind/rain/tornado threat for Georgia. Also, contraflow will begin at 8am on Saturday for I-16 in Georgia from Savannah to Macon.
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Archive Former Major Hurricane Irma
- Thread starter JayF
- Start date
For scale...
12Z Euro is a truly awful scenario.
TuckerTerry
Member
SouthernStorms
Member
I'm trying to learn a little bit more about the weather models,. Who publishes them, when are they published etc. Can one of you point me in the right direction?
- Thread starter
- Admin
- #186
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
This page will get you the graphics. They run every 6 or 12 hours, depending on the model. Times they run are in UTC time.
- Thread starter
- Admin
- #188
Take a look around in there. GFS is the primary model in there but you can change to some of the other models and get an idea of what the forecast looks like.
TuckerTerry
Member
I don't know much about them myself, but am currently using this site...
http://trackthetropics.com/euro-12z-tropical-atlantic-forecasts/
TuckerTerry
Member
Local Met just acknowledged the 12z Euro track. Saying ..."It's just one run of the model, but it's an important one".
SouthernStorms
Member
Thanks everyone. So is the 6z 12z etc at the end the time they are ran?
Yep! They then come out a few hours after that to the public.
Pluviophile
Member
Omg... That is staggering! Thank you for posting.
NorthGaWeather
Member
I haven't been paying attention to social media. But, I'm assuming it was Brad Nitz or Glenn Burns? haha.
Not to say they're wrong. It, hopefully, was an eye opening run for potential impacts.
akt1985
Member
I heard on the Jox Roundtable this afternoon that the Talledega Speedway is open for evacuees from the coast.
TuckerTerry
Member
Bahaha .... yes, it was. But if you are who I think you are, I follow you also ..
- Thread starter
- Admin
- #197
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
AND VILLA CLARA. THIS INCLUDES THE CUBAN KEYS ALONG THE NORTH
SHORE OF THESE PROVINCES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
AND VILLA CLARA.
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND
MATANZAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS WELL
AS
CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 71.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
AND VILLA CLARA. THIS INCLUDES THE CUBAN KEYS ALONG THE NORTH
SHORE OF THESE PROVINCES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
AND VILLA CLARA.
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND
MATANZAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS WELL
AS
CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 71.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
NorthGaWeather
Member
TuckerTerry
Member
CoreyandFrosty
Member
Wow. If those wind maps happened, this would be Opal all over again. In fact, it would be much worse than Opal. Do you guys think wind gust of 70-90 mph is really possible in Atlanta Ga?
