We've got yet another invest with increasing chances for development once it enters the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, an ULL is to the west of the system providing some SWerly shear over it. If/when that pivots out of the way and allows for better upper level ventilation/outflow of the system...
We are just 4 days removed from the statistical peak of the Atlantic season and we have another problematic Cape Verde tropical wave on our hands. If this stays at a low latitude and begins development upon approach to the Caribbean, I think we may have a significant system on our hands.
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic, a few
hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce
a broad area of shower activity. No significant development of this
system is expected for the next few days while it moves westward at
15 to 20 mph. Upper-level...
We’ve got invest 92L tagged over the Southeast US. Model consensus has this developing in the Gulf. But these ULL set ups can be tricky (induced shear that causes center reformations, etc). Lots of model watching to see where the center develops, redevelops, etc.
ABNT20 KNHC 121736
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 12 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms located over the western
Caribbean Sea just to the east of...
I am going to go ahead and create this. For Wes, I was hoping that Invest 90L would hold off but it looks like it might actually become a named storm. And with that, I present you with a Spaghetti Model.
In this list I count 10 of the 13 tropical cyclone forecast centres and other areas:
... so are there additional letters for the Jakarta, Darwin, and Port Moresby forecast areas and maybe the Great Lakes?
MIAMI, Florida - NOAA's National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Tuesday, August 29, 2017, due to the presence of an area of low pressure that could become a Tropical Storm Jose later this week.
The area of low pressure (red X above)...