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Hurricane Hurricane Barry (Gulf of Mexico) (1 Viewer)


Kory

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We’ve got invest 92L tagged over the Southeast US. Model consensus has this developing in the Gulf. But these ULL set ups can be tricky (induced shear that causes center reformations, etc). Lots of model watching to see where the center develops, redevelops, etc.
 

WesL

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast to
move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a broad
area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the end of the week while the low meanders near
the northern Gulf Coast. Regardless of development, this system has
the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the
northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more
information about the rainfall threat, please see products issued by
your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction
Center. Interests along the northern Gulf Coast and the Florida
peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
 

Kory

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UKMET is into NOLA and then north into MS. GFS might be suffering convective feedback issues much like why it had it going to far east just a couple days ago. I'd bet on a LA landfall if I had to right now.
 

Equus

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Would have gladly traded with you, I was down there LAST weekend, when I should have planned for THIS weekend lmao... not that there is any way I could have planned for something like this that far in advance. Hopefully she sends me some nice outer band/waterspout/high surf pics from the office at Fort Morgan.
 

Equus

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I'm used to these taking days to organize once they head offshore, this one seems to be on a slightly accelerated schedule
 

Kory

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I'm used to these taking days to organize once they head offshore, this one seems to be on a slightly accelerated schedule
Once the low and mid level vorticity stack, it’s game on. Gotta watch for some slight northerly shear that may push dry air in.
 

KoD

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As always I'm excitedly waiting for the next Levi Cowan video to break down the components of the system, how it may progress and the possible outcomes.
His video from yesterday was great and hopefully there'll be another later this evening.

 

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