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Hurricane Category 4 Hurricane Helene

One thing to note based off model data so far: this storm is likely to be rather large, which means areal impacts will be broad regarding rains, winds and tornadoes, as well as storm surge.
 
Good Monday morning of what will, I fear, be a rather historic week. If one were to imagine the best environmental factors you could for a storm, you'd be hard pressed to create better ocean conditions than our future Helene will have.

SSTs

1727092881799.png

TCHP
1727092942444.png

NOAA CoastWatch and AOML Ocean Observations Viewer

Ocean Observing System, Atlantic Hurricane Field Program, global satellite data, insitu data, ships, buoys and regional data in the Gulf of America, Caribbean, and North Atlantic
cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov
 
Blountwolf said:
Good Monday morning of what will, I fear, be a rather historic week. If one were to imagine the best environmental factors you could for a storm, you'd be hard pressed to create better ocean conditions than our future Helene will have.

SSTs

View attachment 30095

TCHP
View attachment 30096

NOAA CoastWatch and AOML Ocean Observations Viewer

Ocean Observing System, Atlantic Hurricane Field Program, global satellite data, insitu data, ships, buoys and regional data in the Gulf of America, Caribbean, and North Atlantic
cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov
Click to expand...
The thing that always stinks about Gulf systems like this is that, to use diplomatic terms, there aren't any offramps should a strong storm form. Regardless of exactly where it goes, someone will have a bad day.
 
Another interesting point here is that the Hurricane Models have pressure unusually low for the wind speeds they're forecasting. This means a bigger storm with further reach. I expect this will be much more impactful than Debby or Idalia.
 
Clancy said:
The thing that always stinks about Gulf systems like this is that, to use diplomatic terms, there aren't any offramps should a strong storm form. Regardless of exactly where it goes, someone will have a bad day.
Click to expand...
Yeah there’s no such thing as a low impact gulf coast landfall. Especially with a storm this size, it’s inevitable that densely-populated areas are going to see significant impacts.
 
One gets the feeling that over the bathwater of the NW Caribbean, things may happen pretty quickly. I'll be surprised if it waits until the Gulf to ramp up to hurricane force.
 
Watches and warnings are now out for parts of Cuba and Mexico. One thing I didn't notice from last advisory is that to-be Helene is expected to still be at tropical storm strength all the way until it reaches the GA/SC border!
1727114242012.png
 
Ugh! The same areas that took it to the chin from Category 4 Idalia last year look to take it again from Helene. I have my time off approved and plan on driving that way for an intercept.
 
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