Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[Muwx]

What a waste of a plains trough.

If it was May…

 

[lake.effect]

"Tornado Alley" in OK/KS is literally an anachronism at this point, it's just not where the action happens anymore.

 

[TheSuckZone]

What a waste of a plains trough.

Plains closed. Come back in May

 

[atrainguy]

"Tornado Alley" in OK/KS is literally an anachronism at this point, it's just not where the action happens anymore.

Unless it’s 2024, then almost everything happens there lol. At least the plains in general, that is.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Unless it’s 2024, then almost everything happens there lol.

Except still at night.

 

[Kds86z]

We got a warning ..

 

[CheeselandSkies]

In other news, 0Z HRRR will tell us a lot about tomorrow

And of course it puts a long-lived supercell in northern Mississippi...

It also looks like a bit of an uptrend on the parameter space into more of northern Illinois, although the simulated convection doesn't explicitly reflect it.

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[TH2002]

"Tornado Alley" in OK/KS is literally an anachronism at this point, it's just not where the action happens anymore.

Meh. Never doubt the Plains.

I remember Fox News ran an article back in 2022 about the decline of tornado activity in Kansas - literally three or four days later, the Andover EF3 (arguably EF4 imo) touched down.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

We got a warning ..

Wow, way up by I-70. The most just-in-time of just-in-time moisture if that one produces.

 

[atrainguy]

Except still at night.

True. Seems like we’ve had some nice daytime stuff in Texas, Nebraska and Kansas in recent years, but Oklahomas been very nocturnal.

 

[US_Highway15]

Unless it’s 2024, then almost everything happens there lol. At least the plains in general, that is.

I mean OK/KS had more tornadoes than AL/MS last year.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TH2002]

We got a warning ..

Make that two.

 

[Maxis_s]

I am still not ruling out something at 06z-07z.

 

[Kds86z]

Are they even in a tornado watch??

 

[Maxis_s]

Just noticed, Broyles messed up the contours. Whoops!

 

[TheSuckZone]

Are they even in a tornado watch??

 

[Maxis_s]

Well this explains a lot.
Observed 0-1km SRH, versus...

...forecasted 0-1km SRH, valid for the same time.

 

[Justin Hindman]

Hrr looks very messy tomorrow, if it verifies, would just me rain wrapped bs to put it nicely. The exception is the cells northern Mississippi