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2020 Hurricane Season

How active do you think the 2020 Hurricane Season will be.

  • Below Average Year

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Average Year

    Votes: 1 6.7%
  • Above Average Year

    Votes: 14 93.3%

  • Total voters
    15

Kory

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Another storm will be spinning up in the western gulf. Keep an eye as steering currents will be weak and it will meander a while (where have we heard that before?)
 
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Another storm will be spinning up in the western gulf. Keep an eye as steering currents will be weak and it will meander a while (where have we heard that before?)

Don’t fall asleep on Teddy either. Eric Webb brought up a great point on Twitter where the wildfire smoke could create a ridging effect and bring Teddy closer to and over the northeast United States. This needs to be monitored very closely considering models aren’t likely factoring this in.
 

Kory

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Don’t fall asleep on Teddy either. Eric Webb brought up a great point on Twitter where the wildfire smoke could create a ridging effect and bring Teddy closer to and over the northeast United States. This needs to be monitored very closely considering models aren’t likely factoring this in.
I think *IF* Teddy goes East of Bermuda, it’ll be pretty hard to get it to curve back as far west to be a significant influence to the NE US. If it goes west, well, that might be interesting. But models are really struggling with Teddy regarding intensity and given the volatility of the patter past 3-5 days, it’s not out of the real of possibilities but I think it would be more likely a Canadian Maritimes/Bermuda or out to sea route. But, nothing is 100% in this science!
 

JayF

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Which storm do you think will become Wilfred?
Only other time we have gone through the entire list and started using the Greek Alphabet was 2005. 2020 Continues to live up to its history.
 

Kory

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Which storm do you think will become Wilfred?
Only other time we have gone through the entire list and started using the Greek Alphabet was 2005. 2020 Continues to live up to its history.
Invest 90L in the SW Gulf will likely be classified as Wilfred when recon gets there later.
 

JayF

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Invest 90L in the SW Gulf will likely be classified as Wilfred when recon gets there later.

With a new wave coming off the African coast sometime over the weekend, I am interested into seeing what our outlook next week turns out to be.

Questions I have:
How will the Post Tropical Cyclone Paulette interact with the new wave coming off the coast of Africa since she is still predicted to be a TS as she turns south?

Is Teddy causing enough turbulence and sheer in the Atlantic to tear apart Vicky and Paulette? Vicky Clearly hasn't organized enough but as Teddy turns north, will she be able to strengthen and turn east?
 

JayF

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Meanwhile, there's a Medicane in the Mediterranean:



This is from Wikipedia.

The occurrence of tropical cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea is generally extremely rare, with an average of 1.57 forming annually and merely 99 recorded occurrences of tropical-like storms discovered between 1948 and 2011 in a modern study, with no definitive trend in activity in that period.[29] Few medicanes form during the summer season, though activity typically rises in autumn, peaks in January, and gradually decreases from February to May.[25] In the western Mediterranean region of development, approximately 0.75 such systems form each year, compared to 0.32 in the Ionian Sea region.[30] However, on very rare occasions, similar tropical-like storms may also develop in the Black Sea.[31]

.
 

JayF

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Kory

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And we have Wilfred from 98L in the Atlantic. The gulf tropical storm will named Alpha. We have moved onto the Greek names. Just an absolutely unprecedented season.
 

KoD

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Interesting mention from the twenty-two discussion
"It should be noted that the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft that was scheduled to investigate the depression had to turn back after getting hit by lightning."

I wonder how often that happens?
 

JayF

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JayF

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JayF

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