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Kory
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Yeah not sure why I didn’t go ahead and do that. Duh!Might be worth calling this a severe weather and flooding threat in the thread title.
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Yeah not sure why I didn’t go ahead and do that. Duh!Might be worth calling this a severe weather and flooding threat in the thread title.
Round two is knocking on our doors. This might be worse than round one.We got just over 3" in that morning wave. Saw a couple cars on side streets that almost certainly have water in them. We have a large drainage ditch that just about got out of its banks. Thankfully we have had a bit of a pause to let things recede.
^ I take it that is sort of like the PDS Tornado Warning version of a Flash Flood Warning.
That is going to shift back north as the LLJ picks up. The rain cooled air shifted the convergence south of where models initially had it.Seems like the heaviest rain axis, at least for now, has set up south of the high flood threat area.
Hes called for an outbreak in dixie alley the last 2 systems. 1st off both systems very early on looked liked a very significant threat. However there are almost always limiting factors and both systems underperformed compared to the initial setup. Sure we had tornadoes and a couple of strong ones but in no way were they tornado outbreaks. Tim sees the setup early and the hype train starts. There are significant limiting factors for wed. Spc even questions there own enhanced risk for west al.
Um, which systems are you referring to?Hes called for an outbreak in dixie alley the last 2 systems. 1st off both systems very early on looked liked a very significant threat. However there are almost always limiting factors and both systems underperformed compared to the initial setup. Sure we had tornadoes and a couple of strong ones but in no way were they tornado outbreaks. Tim sees the setup early and the hype train starts. There are significant limiting factors for wed. Spc even questions there own enhanced risk for west al.
Um, which systems are you referring to?
I’m not here to clutter up this thread, but January 10-11th had nearly 80 tornadoes with 13 strong. Feb 5th-7th had 37 tornadoes with 6 strong. I’m not sure where you get underperformed as if there was a threshold set or something prior. I guess you could say the parameters in place could’ve yielded a more significant threat? But the Jan 10-11th event is in the upper echelon of outbreaks for January (yes, it was an outbreak though we don’t really have a true meteorological definition). Feb 5th-7th, despite ALL that was working against it yielded a few long track tornadoes through Dixie alley. Not every event will be 4/27 if that’s what you’re using to measure outbreaks.
With that being said, Wednesday has a lot working against it and Reed is a severe wx weenie.