MattPetrulli
Member
Ahhhhh, that's pretty interesting....
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I had some issues looking at some weather.gov websites earlier. Wonder if they are having some issues.IDK what is up with radar data so far this year. There was the Radarscope outage on Saturday, coupled with warnings from Shreveport not showing up on GR Level 3. Now today, warning polygons seem to still take an inordinately long time to display for me on GR Level 3, although they eventually do show up.
Whatever it is, hope it all gets resolved before prime chase season.
IDK what is up with radar data so far this year. There was the Radarscope outage on Saturday, coupled with warnings from Shreveport not showing up on GR Level 3. Now today, warning polygons seem to still take an inordinately long time to display for me on GR Level 3, although they eventually do show up.
Whatever it is, hope it all gets resolved before prime chase season.
SREF does pop a small 60-75% in that corridor later this evening. HRRR also pops a few discrete cells in that area, but have to be wary of its bad track record recently.Now that I’m looking at soundings, the dynamics are alarming for the aforementioned area. It appears bulk shear vectors begin to orient themselves that would favor a more cellular mode later this evening. Combine that with CAPE >500 J/KG and SRH > 300 m2/s2 in the lower levels, we might have some big problems.
Looks like Dallas metro had hurricane force winds with the passage of the squall line.
There are a lot of TOR soundings across North/Central AL and TN tomorrow as well as further north into the Ohio Valley. Initially, it appeared a complex of storms would race east mucking up instability. Not so much anymore...Brad Travis becoming more concerned with tomorrow here in the Huntsville area. I guess the front is slowing down which will allow more instability to build. He mentioned any discrete cells ahead of the main line could produce stronger tornadoes.
Thanks for the tip!As far as the GR3 warning issues go, try changing the warning URL from warnings.cod.edu to warnings.allisonhouse.com (free even if you don't subscribe). It helps tremendously, at least it does for me.
We’re going to see a situation tomorrow in AL where best dynamics are pulling away but we have great instability. If we can get overlap for a while in the midday and afternoon, there will be the opportunity for some severe weather.
Seeing some of the forecasted lapse rates and the cellular nature of storms, I could see hail being a main threat.Please tell me this isn’t similar to when we had all the bad hail storms...