It's early, but next weekend looks interesting. Either gonna be a heavy rainfall or winter event
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Winter Weather Season 2025-26
- Thread starter Atlantic
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- #142
Nice! Looking at satellite looks like the snow melted off very fast! Can you confirm?
Hat tip to the Euro - just about nailed placement on this one on Wednesday.
Sure looks like it. Neat to watch it on Sat. (time sensitive)
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Ars4ua
Member
Have ya’ll seen the potential for 1/25 ?
Jackson, Next weekend: Weather details are highly uncertain given the many different model solutions on when the polar air will make return. It appears we'll have a strong temperature gradient across the area and this will help to maintain unsettled weather. Next weekend will be a good window of time to monitor for forecast changes. /EC/
GFS ensembles are all over the place on that one, as expected at that range. Worth watching though.
Ars4ua
Member
Thanks. Have you checked out the AIGFS? I’m not sure if they use it as a model yet.
Jason Mills
Member
I had to leave for Birmingham around 9 this morning but it was already starting to melt. There probably won’t be much if any left when I get back this evening
tennessee storm chaser
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Jesus. Major snow storm on 12z euro Memphis to Nashville
In the words of the great Jim Ross, business has just pick up.
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James Spann
LOOKING BACK: The morning event across Southeast Alabama was about as expected. Snow accumulation was light (generally 1" or less), and there was no impact (only wet roads, no power outages, etc)....
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I cannot remember the last time each forecast model at 12z depicted a major winter storm/ice storm within the 10 day timeframe.
12z Euro would be the worse case scenario. For the record, North MS has not had a major ice storm (greater than 1 inch) since February 1994, so we are overdue for one. The most ice I've seen personally has been a quarter inch.
12z Euro would be the worse case scenario. For the record, North MS has not had a major ice storm (greater than 1 inch) since February 1994, so we are overdue for one. The most ice I've seen personally has been a quarter inch.
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RFD66
Member
ECMWF AI says BIG Winter event possible. Prettty impressive at this distance and with the Ice accumilation grpahic, a major Ice Storm as well.
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50 hours of an ice storm starting in west TX all the way to the SC coast. Nasty bad scenario. Here's hoping it is a week-out model hallucination.
Jason Mills
Member
If that even remotely comes to fruition a large part of the SE will be crippled
Just to point out on @Sky_I565 post, the 12z Euro AI Ensemble total snow is not all snow. That total also includes freezing rain and sleet. Just wanted to clarify that.
The biggest eye opening thing to me and why this so concerning is that all 3 models are showing this happening within 7 days plus Spann is already talking about it. I mean I wouldn't be as concerned if it was just the GFS showing it. Also, the other reason why something like this should happen is because it fits the current weather pattern. 18z GFS will be very interesting.
RFD66
Member
Possible Southern stream energy coming into play..
aujerm
Member
How about we turn the thermostat down a couple of degrees in the upper levels to ensure a snow event and not an ice event?
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