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Severe Weather Threat 5.22-5.24.24

Hmm. 9:45 am and tornado warnings in northern IL.

Looks like SPC came around to my (and the HRRR from yesterday's) thinking with the 13Z update, knocking the 5% tornado contour down to the WI/IL state line and points south. We may still get recovery and a severe afternoon round, but it''d be a long shot for the OFB to mix this far north after this complex goes through. It has happened, though, notably August 18th, 2005 which is still Wisconsin's state-record tornado outbreak.
 
Lol

That's all I'm going to say about this constant underrating of tornadoes with radar data, including radar data very close to the ground.
 
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Lol

That's all I'm going to say about this constant underrating of tornadoes with radar data, included radar data very close to the ground.
The low-level vegetation is completely debarked, stubbed, and destroyed. Not even a blade of grass remains, and it’s an extremely wide area where this occurred. It’s also extremely consistent; probably a result of its slow forward speed. Combined with radar data, I feel like I can confidently say this reached EF5 intensity. It definitely won’t be rated that or probably not even HE EF4 though, because of the contingencies of the scale.
 
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