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Severe Weather 2023

Large MDT introduced. 10% tornado risk also across parts of the Apps and 2/5% expanded.
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tennessee storm chaser said:
Wednesday starting to perk my interest more n more …. Look for a rather large enhanced risk coming in later updates , for august the shear isn’t bad for Ozarks over to the midsouth region….
Click to expand...
NWS Memphis seems a bit intrigued on Wednesday in their afternoon discussion:
"A weaker lead shortwave
trough may bring showers and thunderstorms back to the area as
soon as the early morning hours on Wednesday with a stronger wave
anticipated by Wednesday evening. Kinematics for the 2nd week of
August are more spring-like with 0-6 km bulk shear forecast to
approach 50 kts. The biggest question mark is how convection early
in the day affects boundary layer destabilization later in the
day. We`re likely to see one or more MCSs during this time frame
with the potential for severe weather and heavy rainfall. Damaging
wind looks to be the primary concern at this point, but global
model storm-relative helicity progs appear uncomfortably high at
300-400 m2/s2. Will not weigh this too heavily at this time given
its dependence on mesoscale processes."
 
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